Green Bay vs Cincinnati Prediction 11/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Green Bay vs Cincinnati Prediction

In this Green Bay vs Cincinnati Prediction, Cincinnati is coming as -24.5 home favorites. Both teams are coming off wins in their opening games of the season but Green Bay competed against a Division III team and won by 43 points as expected. On the flip side, Cincinnati won by 16 points at home and is projected as #56 for the upcoming College Basketball Season, while Green Bay is projected all the way down to #260, so the value here lies with the home favorite. Cincinnati was very strong at home and while it had trouble covering spread, they are playing their second straight game at home to start the season so I expect them to keep their foot on the gas and win this one easily. Green Bay is also being tested for the first time on the road, so take Cincinnati and lay the big number at home.

Cincinnati Bearcats Preview

The Cincinnati Bearcats have a 1-0 overall record and a 1-0 home record. They are coming off a 79-53 home win against American and will face Minnesota and Dayton next.

Offensively, they are averaging 79.0 points per game (ranking 166th in the nation), while allowing 53.0 points per game defensively (42nd). They have a 107.4 offensive rating (ranking 190th) and a 72.1 defensive rating (46th). The Bearcats are shooting 42.0% from the field (ranking 230th in the nation) and 29.6% from beyond the arc (224th), while grabbing 48.0 rebounds per game (48th in the nation) and averaging 20.0 assists per game (67th). They have 4.0 blocks per game (122nd in the nation) and 15.0 steals per game (20th).

MJ Collins leads Cincinnati in scoring, averaging 13.0 ppg on 50.0% shooting from the field, adding 2 rebounds while shooting 100.0% from the free throw line. Tyler Tejada follows with 13.0 ppg on 50.0% shooting from the field and 5.0 rebounds per game, while Akai Fleming adds 9.0 ppg on 50.0% shooting from the field and 6.0 rebounds per game.

Green Bay Phoenix Preview

The Green Bay Phoenix have a 1-0 overall record and a 0-0 away record. They are coming off a 94-51 home win against Lawrence and will face St. Thomas and Northern Iowa next.

Offensively, they are averaging 94.0 points per game (ranking 77th in the nation), while allowing 51.0 points per game defensively (35th). They have a 138.0 offensive rating (ranking 25th) and a 74.9 defensive rating (56th). The Phoenix are shooting 55.6% from the field (ranking 43rd in the nation) and 57.7% from beyond the arc (2nd), while grabbing 41.0 rebounds per game (117th in the nation) and averaging 20.0 assists per game (67th). They have 4.0 blocks per game (122nd in the nation) and 9.0 steals per game (118th).

Ne’quan Brown leads Green Bay in scoring, averaging 14.0 ppg on 66.7% shooting from the field, adding 3.0 rebounds while shooting 80.0% from the free throw line. Marcus Hall follows with 12.0 ppg on 57.1% shooting from the field and 2 rebounds per game, while Clarence Payia and Keegan Van Kauwenberg each added 9.0 ppg.

Green Bay Phoenix @ Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Trends: November 5, 2026

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

• Cincinnati has won 32 of its last 33 games against non-Conference opponents at Fifth Third Arena.
• Green Bay has lost five of its last six road games following a home win.

Why the Green Bay Phoenix will win

• Green Bay has won each of its last five night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Fourteen of Cincinnati’s last 15 night games have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
• Eight of Green Bay’s last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Cincinnati ranks T20th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (15.0).
• Cincinnati ranks T23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (7.0).
• Green Bay ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (71.8%).
• Green Bay ranks T15th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (15.0).

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Cincinnati -24.5