Georgia State vs Charlotte Prediction 11/5/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Georgia State vs Charlotte Prediction

In this Georgia State vs Charlotte Prediction, Charlotte is coming as -11.5 home favorites. Both teams are coming off opposite outcomes in their opening games of the season, with both of their games being low-scoring ones with 149 and 148 total points. Charlotte will be playing its home opener of the season and looked better both on the offensive and the defensive end, despite playing on the road and they also shot the ball from the field much better than Georgia State did. They also grabbed 12 more rebounds and shot with almost 50% from beyond the arc, so it is hard to fade them in this spot, even though they are being double-digit home favorites. Charlotte has also won its last two meetings against Georgia State, and is 3-1 against the spread in their last four meetings. The line is big for a reason, so lay the -11.5 points with Charlotte at home in this one for a comfortable win.

Charlotte 49ers Preview

The Charlotte 49ers have a 1-0 overall record and a 0-0 home record. They are coming off a 78-70 road win against Indiana State and will face Seton Hall and Appalachian State next.

Offensively, they are averaging 78.0 points per game (ranking 172nd in the nation), while allowing 70.0 points per game defensively (166th). They have a 119.3 offensive rating (ranking 121st) and a 107.1 defensive rating (222nd). The 49ers are shooting 50.0% from the field (ranking 98th in the nation) and 48.0% from beyond the arc (24th), while grabbing 40.0 rebounds per game (137th in the nation) and averaging 10.0 assists per game (284th). They have 5.0 blocks per game (88th in the nation) and 3.0 steals per game (325th).

Keyshuan Tillery led Charlotte in scoring, averaging 29.0 ppg on 60.0% shooting from the field, adding 2.0 rebounds and 3.0 assists. Dorian Finister followed with 11.0 ppg on 57.1% shooting from the field and 10.0 rebounds per game, while Frank Oguche added 9.0 ppg on 50.0% shooting from the field and one rebound per game.

Georgia State Panthers Preview

The Georgia State Panthers have a 0-1 overall record and a 0-0 road record. They are coming off a 73-76 home loss against Bowling Green and will face Andrew College and Fresno State next.

Offensively, they are averaging 73.0 points per game (ranking 218th in the nation), while allowing 76.0 points per game defensively (215th). They have a 102.8 offensive rating (ranking 217th) and a 107.0 defensive rating (221st). The Panthers are shooting 40.6% from the field (ranking 243rd in the nation) and 42.9% from beyond the arc (15th), while grabbing 28.0 rebounds per game (303rd in the nation) and averaging 15.0 assists per game (158th). They have 4.0 blocks per game (122nd in the nation) and 6.0 steals per game (219th).

Jacob Meyer led Georgia State in scoring, averaging 25.0 ppg on 52.9% shooting from the field, adding 7.0 assists. Jaden Jackson followed with 20.0 ppg on 41.2% shooting from the field and 2 rebounds per game, while David Thomas added 14.0 ppg on 33.3% shooting from the field and 2 rebounds per game.

Georgia State Panthers @ Charlotte 49ers Betting Trends: November 5, 2026

Why the Charlotte 49ers will win

• Georgia State has lost 17 of its last 18 road night games against non-Conference opponents.
• Charlotte has won 24 of its last 29 games against non-Conference opponents at Halton Arena.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Charlotte’s last six night games against the Sun Belt Conference have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
• Each of Georgia State’s last four games have produced a total of 147+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Charlotte ranks T44th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (12.0).
• Georgia State ranks T21st among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (35.0).
• Georgia State ranks T35th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (4.0).

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Charlotte -11.5