Fresno State vs Colorado State Prediction 3/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Fresno State vs Colorado State Prediction for this Mountain West Tournament 1st Round matchup on Wednesday, March 11th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Colorado State Rams Preview

The Colorado State Rams have a 20-11 overall record and an 11-9 record in the Mountain West conference. They are coming off a 78-67 home loss against Boise State and their previous three games were an 82-74 road win against New Mexico, an 85-73 road win against San Jose State and a 74-70 home win against Fresno State.

Offensively, Colorado State averages 76.8 points per game, while allowing 71.4 points per game defensively. The Rams shoot with 50% from the field and grab 32.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16 assists per game. They average 2.1 blocks per game and 5.3 steals per game defensively.

Brandon Rechsteiner leads Colorado State in scoring, with an average of 12.3 points per game, while shooting with 45.4% from the field and 80.5% from the free throw line. Carey Booth is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.6 per game. Jevin Muniz leads the team in assists with 4.9 per game.

Fresno State Bulldogs Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs have a 13-18 overall record and a 7-13 record in the Mountain West conference. They are coming off an 85-60 road loss against Grand Canyon and their previous three games were an 82-68 home win against San Jose State, a 69-53 home loss against Boise State and a 74-70 road loss against Colorado State.

Offensively, Fresno State averages 73.2 points per game, while allowing 73 points per game defensively. The Bulldogs shoot with 44% from the field and grab 34.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.8 assists per game. They average 2.1 blocks per game and 6.6 steals per game defensively.

Jake Heidbreder leads Fresno State in scoring, with an average of 16.7 points per game, while shooting with 40.2% from the field and 89.7% from the free throw line. Wilson Jacques is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.8 per game. Zaon Collins leads the team in assists with 4.6 per game.

Fresno State Bulldogs @ Colorado State Rams Betting Trends: March 11, 2026

Why the Colorado State Rams will win

• Colorado State has won 14 of its last 15 games against Fresno State.
• Fresno State has lost seven of its last eight night games played at neutral venues.
• Fresno State has lost the first half in each of its last six night games played at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Fresno State’s last six games at Thomas & Mack Center have produced a total of 147+ points.
• Ten of the last 12 games between Fresno State and Colorado State have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Colorado State ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.0).
• Colorado State ranks 362nd among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (51.2).
• Fresno State ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (30.1%).
• Fresno State ranks T47th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (17.1).

Fresno State vs Colorado State Prediction

In this Fresno State vs Colorado State Prediction, Colorado State is coming as -7 favorites. Colorado State has been the better team this season but Fresno has been better against the spread. Both teams are also coming into this matchup on opposite trajectories, as Colorado State is 8-1 in its last 9 games, while on the other hand, Fresno State is 2-7 in its last 9 games. Colorado State also dominates this matchup, as they are 9-1 in their last 10 head-to-head matches against Fresno, so take Colorado State and lay the points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Colorado State -7