Florida State vs Dayton Prediction 12/16/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Florida State vs Dayton prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, December 16th at UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

The Florida State Seminoles are 5-5 this season after they lost to UMass by a score of 103-95 in their last game. Florida State led 47-43 at halftime, but was outscored 60-48 in the second half for the loss. The Seminoles shot 44% from the field, 29% on three pointers, and 83% on free throws in the game. Robert McCray V led FSU with 21 points and 11 assists, while Martin Somerville added 15 points and four rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Florida State lost to Houston by a score of 82-67 and Georgia by a score of 107-73. The Seminoles have scored 85.3 points per game with 38.2 rebounds and 16.4 assists per game, while they have allowed 80.9 points against per game this season. Robert McCray V is averaging 14.8 points and 7.2 assists per game, while Lajae Jones is averaging 12.5 points and 4.4 rebounds per game for the Seminoles. Florida State is shooting 42% from the field, 70.1% on free throws, and 31.3% on three pointers this season. 

Dayton Flyers Betting Preview

The Dayton Flyers are 8-3 this year after they defeated North Florida by a score of 84-61 in their last game. Dayton led 46-23 at halftime, but they tied North Florida 38-38 in the second half in the win. The Flyers shot 52% from the field, 28% on three pointers, and 47% on free throws in the game. De’Shayne Montgomery led Dayton with 23 points and two rebounds, while Amael L’Etang added 14 points and 14 rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Dayton lost to Virginia by a score of 86-73, but did beat East Tennessee State by a score of 88-71 before that. The Flyers have scored 79.7 points per game with 33.5 rebounds and 15.1 assists per game, while they have allowed 71.0 points against per game this season. De’Shayne Montgomery is averaging 16.1 points and 5.0 rebounds per game, while Javon Bennett is averaging 15.6 points and 3.2 assists per game for the Flyers. Dayton is shooting 46.6% from the field, 70.9% on free throws, and 32.6% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

• Dayton has won each of its last 20 night games against non-Conference opponents at University of Dayton Arena.
• Florida State has lost each of its last four games against non-Conference opponents.
• Florida State has lost the first half in three of its last four games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

• Florida State has won five of its last six night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Twenty-eight of Dayton’s last 29 night games against non-Conference opponents at University of Dayton Arena have produced a total of 159 or fewer points.
• Twenty-six of Florida State’s last 32 games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 161 or fewer points.

Florida State vs Dayton Prediction 

Florida State comes into this matchup looking to snap a four game losing streak and they are coming off of a terrible loss to UMass. The Seminoles are shooting just 42% from the field and they have allowed 95+ in three of their last four. Dayton has alternated wins and losses over their last five games, but they are shooting 47% from the field and they have scored at least 84 points in three of their last five. I don’t like anything about how FSU is playing right now, so give me Dayton to cover at home.

David Racey's Pick: Dayton -6.5