Mar 17, 2026; Dayton, OH, USA; NC State Wolfpack center Scottie Ebube (12) reacts after being defeated by Texas Longhorns during a first four game of the men's 2026 NCAA Tournament at University of Dayton Arena. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

East Tennessee State vs NC State Prediction 11/6/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

East Tennessee State vs NC State Odds and Matchup Info
MATCHUP East Tennessee State Buccaneers NC State Wolfpack
Team Records 0-1 1-0
Spread +16.5 -110 -16.5 -110
Moneyline +1100 -2100
Total Over 152.5 (-115) Under 152.5 (-105)
Where Lenovo Center, Raleigh, NC
When Friday, November 6, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ACCNX

East Tennessee State vs NC State Prediction

In this East Tennessee State vs NC State Prediction, NC State is coming as -16.5 home favorites. Both teams are coming off opposite outcomes in their opening games of the season, with NC State winning comfortably at home, while East Tennessee State losing by 10 on the road. NC State played excellent defense in its season opener, limiting their opponents into just 64 points per game and had elite shooting percentages and will go up against a struggling East Tennessee State offense that scored just 65 points in its opener and struggled to take control of the glass and were below average against the spread last season with a 14-18 ATS record. The value here lies with the home favorite, so take NC State and lay the points at home.

NC State Wolfpack Preview

The NC State Wolfpack have a 1-0 overall record and a 1-0 home record. They are coming off an 83-64 home win against Campbell and will face Presbyterian and Troy next.

Offensively, they are averaging 83.0 points per game (ranking 146th in the nation), while allowing 64.0 points per game defensively (129th). They have a 119.1 offensive rating (ranking 122nd) and a 91.9 defensive rating (144th). The Wolfpack are shooting 53.6% from the field (ranking 69th in the nation) and 44.0% from beyond the arc (49th), while grabbing 38.0 rebounds per game (169th in the nation) and averaging 20.0 assists per game (67th). They have 3.0 blocks per game (179th in the nation) and 6.0 steals per game (219th).

Ven-Allen Lubin leads NC State in scoring, averaging 20.0 ppg on 100.0% shooting from the field. Darius Adams follows with 16.0 ppg on 50.0% shooting from the field. Christian Hammond follows with 14.0 ppg on 66.7% shooting from the field. Ven-Allen Lubin leads the team in rebounds with 10 per game. Christian Hammond leads the team in assists with 6 per game.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers Preview

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers have a 0-1 overall record and a 0-1 road record. They are coming off a 65-75 road loss against Arizona State and will face Campbell and Marshall next.

Offensively, they are averaging 65.0 points per game (ranking 266th in the nation), while allowing 75.0 points per game defensively (205th). They have a 105.6 offensive rating (ranking 205th) and a 121.9 defensive rating (293rd). The Buccaneers are shooting 45.5% from the field (ranking 181st in the nation) and 41.2% from beyond the arc (71st), while grabbing 31.0 rebounds per game (274th in the nation) and averaging 10.0 assists per game (284th). They have zero blocks per game (341st in the nation) and 9.0 steals per game (118th).

BJ Ward leads East Tennessee State in scoring, averaging 25.0 ppg on 43.5% shooting from the field. Trevor Hennig follows with 15.0 ppg on 62.5% shooting from the field. Jayden Cooper follows with 10.0 ppg on 50.0% shooting from the field. Maki Johnson leads the team in rebounds with 5 per game. Elton Smith leads the team in assists with 3 per game.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers @ NC State Wolfpack Betting Trends: November 6, 2026

 

Why the NC State Wolfpack will win

  • NC State has won 48 of its last 51 games against non-Conference opponents at Lenovo Center.
  • East Tennessee State has lost 13 of its last 14 road night games against non-Conference opponents.
  • East Tennessee State has lost the first half in each of its last five games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.

Why the East Tennessee State Buccaneers will win

  • NC State has lost six of its last eight games.
  • East Tennessee State has won six of its last eight road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of East Tennessee State’s last six night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
  • Four of NC State’s last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Lenovo Center have produced a total of 153+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • NC State ranks 43rd among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (63.4%).
  • East Tennessee State ranks T15th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (3.0).

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: NC State -16.5

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