Cal Poly vs Hawaii Prediction 2/19/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Cal Poly vs Hawaii Prediction for this college basketball game on Thursday, February 19th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Preview

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors have an 18-6 overall record and a 10-4 record in the Big West. They are coming off an 84-60 road loss against Cal State Northridge and their previous three games were an 89-74 road win against Cal State Bakersfield, a 72-67 home win against UC San Diego and an 89-82 road win against Long Beach State.

Offensively, Hawaii averages 79.8 points per game, while allowing 67.8 points per game defensively. The Rainbow Warriors shoot with 46% from the field and grab 39.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.3 assists per game. They average 3.8 blocks per game and 6.6 steals per game defensively.

Isaac Johnson leads Hawaii in scoring, with an average of 13.4 points per game, while shooting with 51.2% from the field and 86% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 5.9 rebounds. Hunter Erickson leads the team in assists with 3.8 per game.

Cal Poly Mustangs Preview

The Cal Poly Mustangs have an 11-16 overall record and a 7-8 record in the Big West. They are coming off an 89-79 home win against UC Santa Barbara and their previous three games were a 79-73 home win against UC Irvine, a 67-58 road loss against UC Davis and a 97-96 home loss against Cal State Northridge.

Offensively, Cal Poly averages 81.3 points per game, while allowing 85.3 points per game defensively. The Mustangs shoot with 43% from the field and grab 37.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.3 assists per game. They average 2.3 blocks per game and 6.7 steals per game defensively.

Hamad Mousa leads Cal Poly in scoring, with an average of 20 points per game, while shooting with 44.4% from the field and 87% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 6 rebounds. Peter Bandelj leads the team in assists with 3.3 per game.

Cal Poly Mustangs @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Betting Trends: February 19, 2026

Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win

• Hawaii has won each of its last 11 home games against Cal Poly.
• Cal Poly has lost each of its last 10 night games at Bankoh Arena at Stan Sheriff Center.
• Hawaii has won the first half in each of its last 19 games against Cal Poly.

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

• The road team has won the first half in each of Cal Poly’s last seven games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last 13 games between Cal Poly and Hawaii have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
• Ten of Cal Poly’s last 12 road games have produced a total of 172+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Hawaii ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (9.0).
• Hawaii ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (5.1).
• Cal Poly ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (16.0).
• Cal Poly ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for pace this season (75.1).

Cal Poly vs Hawaii Prediction

In this Cal Poly vs Hawaii Prediction, Hawaii is coming as -12.5 road favorites. Hawaii has been the better team this season and have been almost perfect at home with a 15-1 record. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games but 1-4 against the spread, while Cal Poly is 4-2 in its last 6 and 5-1 against the spread. Hawaii is just 5-8 ATS at home this season while Cal Poly is 8-6 ATS on the road and have a slightly better offense. Given both teams’ recent form, I expect the guests to keep it somewhat close and cover the spread on the road. Take Cal Poly and get the +12.5 points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Cal Poly +12.5