Baylor vs Arizona State Prediction 3/10/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Baylor vs Arizona State prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, March 10th at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears are 16-15 (6-12) this season after they defeated Utah by a score of 101-75 in their last game. Baylor led 53-33 at halftime and they added 48 points in the second half in the win. The Bears shot 62% from the field, 44% on three pointers, and 87% on free throws in the game. Tounde Yessoufou led Baylor with 26 points and five rebounds, while Cameron Carr added 21 points and four assists in the win. 

Prior to that game, Baylor lost to Houston by a score of 77-64, but did beat UCF by a score of 87-86 before that. The Bears have scored 82.7 points per game with 36.8 rebounds and 15.9 assists per game, while they have allowed 77.0 points against per game this season. Cameron Carr is averaging 19.0 points and 5.5 rebounds per game, while Tounde Yessoufou is averaging 18.0 points and 5.8 rebounds per game for the Bears. Baylor is shooting 48.1% from the field, 73.2% on free throws, and 35.0% on three pointers this season. 

Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview

The Arizona State Sun Devils are 16-15 (7-11) this year after they lost to Iowa State by a score of 86-65 in their last game. Arizona State led 41-37 at halftime, but they were outscored 49-24 in the second half for the lopsided loss. The Sun Devils shot 47% from the field, 30% on three pointers, and 82% on free throws in the game. Massamba Diop led ASU with 12 points and three rebounds, while Maurice Odum added 10 points and seven assists in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Arizona State defeated Kansas by a score of 70-60 and Utah by a score of 73-60. The Sun Devils have scored 77.2 points per game with 33.3 rebounds and 14.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 77.9 points against per game this season. Maurice Odum is averaging 17.1 points and 5.9 assists per game, while Massamba Diop is averaging 13.9 points and 5.9 rebounds per game for the Sun Devils. Arizona State is shooting 44.6% from the field, 75.6% on free throws, and 34.1% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win

• Arizona State has won four of its last five games played at neutral venues.
• Baylor has lost nine of its last 12 Conference Tournament games.
• Baylor has lost the first half in three of its last four games against Conference opponents at T-Mobile Center.

Why the Baylor Bears will win

• Baylor has won six of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• Arizona State has lost four of its last five Conference Tournament day games.
• Arizona State has lost the first half in each of its last three Conference Tournament games.

Total Points Facts

• Seventeen of Baylor’s last 18 games at T-Mobile Center have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
• Each of Arizona State’s last six games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 156+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Baylor ranks 41st among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (119.6).
• Baylor ranks 41st among Division 1 teams for points per possession this season (1.20).

Baylor vs Arizona State Prediction 

Baylor comes into this matchup after alternating wins and losses over their last five games, but they did blowout Utah last time out. The Bears are shooting 48% from the field and they have scored 80+ in three of their last four. ASU has won two of their last three games, but they were awful in the second half of their last game. The Sun Devils are shooting 45% from the field and they have allowed 86+ in two of their last four. Baylor was just 6-12 in Big 12 play, but they beat ASU by five points and I think they will cover this number here.

David Racey's Pick: Baylor -3.5