Arkansas State vs North Texas Prediction 3/23/25 College Basketball Picks

The Arkansas State Red Wolves and the North Texas Mean Green meet Sunday in college basketball action from the Super Pit. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arkansas State vs. North Texas prediction.

Matchup History

The last time these two teams met was all the way back in 2013, when a 74-50 win for North Texas at home gave the Mean Green their third win in the last four head-to-head meetings between these two teams.

Arkansas State Recap

The Arkansas State Red Wolves booked their spot in the second round of the NIT by virtue of a 103-78 win over Saint Louis last time out.

Red Wolves Looking For More In First NIT Appearance Since 1991

Taryn Todd leads the Red Wolves in scoring with 15.1 PPG along with 4.6 RPG and 3.3 APG while Kobe Julien has 11.8 PPG with 5.6 RPG and Joseph Pinion’s chipped in 12.3 PPG with 4 RPG. Izaiyah Nelson also has 10.1 PPG with a team-high 8.8 RPG to lead the Red Wolves in assists and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Arkansas State so far this season. Derrian Ford has 7.6 PPG while Terrance Ford Jr. has 4.9 APG of his own as well to lead A-State in assists so far this season to go along with 9 PPG. As a team, Arkansas State is averaging 79.3 PPG on 42.5% shooting from the field, 31.7% from three and 73% from the foul line this season.

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

• Arkansas State has won six of its last seven games.

North Texas Recap

The North Texas Mean Green booked their spot in the second round thanks to a win over Furman by a final score of 75-65.

Mean Green Looking To Make It Out Of Second Round Of NIT For First Time Since 2023

Atin Wright leads the Mean Green in scoring with 15.2 PPG along with 2.4 RPG while Brenen Lorient has 12.2 PPG with 4.9 RPG as the only other double-digit scorer for North Texas up to this point in the year. Johnathan Massie has 8 PPG with 4.8 RPG while Jasper Floyd has 8.2 PPG with 2.7 RPG and a team-high 3.8 APG as well on the year to lead the Mean Green in the assist department. Moulaye Sissoko has 7.6 PPG with a team-high 6.4 RPG to lead North Texas on the glass while Latrell Jossell has 7.3 PPG as well on the year. As a team, North Texas is averaging 68.1 PPG on 45.1% shooting from the field, 35.7% from three-point range and 77.4% from the foul line this season.

Why the North Texas Mean Green will win

• North Texas has won each of its last 14 games against non-Conference opponents at The Super Pit.
• Arkansas State has lost 10 of its last 11 road night games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Fourteen of Arkansas State’s last 15 games have produced a total of 141+ points.
• Nine of North Texas’ last 10 night games against the Sun Belt Conference at The Super Pit have produced a total of 136 or fewer points.

Arkansas State vs. North Texas Prediction

I’m on Arkansas State here. I just think that the Red Wolves are a team to watch for as the Red Wolves clearly knows what it means for this program to be playing in this tournament after so many rough seasons without postseason basketball. North Texas is a solid team that can control the pace, but I think Arkansas State is a really talented team that could make North Texas sweat here. Give me Arkansas State.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Arkansas State +3.5