Pick details
| MATCHUP | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Alabama Crimson Tide |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Spread | +25.5 -115 | -25.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +3000 | -10000 |
| Total | Over 175.5 (-110) | Under 175.5 (-110) |
| Where | Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL | |
| When | Friday, November 6, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | SECN+ | |
Arkansas State vs Alabama Prediction
In this Arkansas State vs Alabama Prediction, Alabama is coming as -25.5 favorites. Both teams are coming off wins in their opening games of the season, as Alabama won by 22 points at home and Arkansas State is coming off a tight one-point home victory. Alabama’s offense looked great, scoring 96 points per game and will be playing their second straight game at home to start the season and will face an Arkansas State team that struggled mightily with their shot in their first game, making just 35.7% of their shots from the field and now have to face Alabama on the road. Everything shapes up for a comfortable win for the hosts, so take Alabama and lay the points in this one.
Alabama Crimson Tide Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide have a 1-0 overall record and a 1-0 home record. They are coming off a 96-74 home win against Sam Houston and will face Oakland and Seton Hall next.
Offensively, they are averaging 96.0 points per game (ranking 69th in the nation), while allowing 74.0 points per game defensively (202nd). They have a 118.8 offensive rating (ranking 134th) and a 91.6 defensive rating (146th). The Crimson Tide are shooting 48.0% from the field (ranking 145th in the nation) and 32.3% from beyond the arc (185th), while grabbing 42.0 rebounds per game (117th in the nation) and averaging 17.0 assists per game (121st). They have 10.0 blocks per game (5th in the nation) and 17.0 steals per game (7th).
Drew Fielder and London Jemison lead Alabama in scoring, averaging 15 ppg each, with Fielder shooting 55.6% from the field and Jemison shooting 85.7% from the field. Tarris Bouie follows with 13 ppg on 62.5% shooting from the field. Tarris Bouie leads the team in rebounds with 7 per game, while Qayden Samuels leads the team in assists with 5 per game.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Preview
The Arkansas State Red Wolves have a 1-0 overall record and a 0-0 road record. They are coming off a 71-70 home win against Toledo and will face Tennessee–Martin and Dillard next.
Offensively, they are averaging 71.0 points per game (ranking 231st in the nation), while allowing 70.0 points per game defensively (166th). They have a 94.2 offensive rating (ranking 262nd) and a 92.9 defensive rating (148th). The Red Wolves are shooting 35.7% from the field (ranking 304th in the nation) and 29.7% from beyond the arc (222nd), while grabbing 46.0 rebounds per game (69th in the nation) and averaging 15.0 assists per game (158th). They have 4.0 blocks per game (122nd in the nation) and 12.0 steals per game (48th).
Tameron Ferguson leads Arkansas State in scoring, averaging 20 ppg on 80.0% shooting from the field. Layne Taylor follows with 13 ppg on 38.5% shooting from the field. Aaron McGee and Jordan Pyke follow with 11 ppg each, with both shooting 57.1% from the field. Amadou Doumbia leads the team in rebounds with 9 per game. Layne Taylor leads the team in assists with 4 per game.
Arkansas State Red Wolves @ Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Trends: November 6, 2026
Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win
- Alabama has won 32 of its last 34 games against non-Conference opponents at Coleman Coliseum.
- Arkansas State has lost each of its last five night games against the Southeastern Conference.
- Arkansas State has lost the first half in seven of its last eight road night games against non-Conference opponents.
Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win
- Arkansas State has won each of its last five night games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Arkansas State’s last 13 road night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 174 or fewer points.
- Each of Alabama’s last 10 night games against the Sun Belt Conference have produced a total of 167 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Alabama ranks T6th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (17.0).
- Alabama ranks T359th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (15.0).
- Arkansas State ranks T353rd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (50.0).
- Arkansas State ranks T13th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (37.0).
Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Alabama -25.5
