Alabama vs Duke Prediction 3/29/25 College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate an Alabama vs Duke prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, March 29th at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament. 

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 28-8 (13-5) this year after they defeated BYU by a score of 113-88 in their last game. Alabama led 51-40 at halftime and added 62 points in the second half for the win. The Crimson Tide shot 53% from the field, 49% on three pointers, and 85.7% on free throws in the game. Mark Sears led Alabama with 34 points and eight assists, while Aden Holloway added 23 points and three assists in the game. Alabama didn’t play much defense in this game, but they made 25-51 three pointers and only attempted 15 two-point shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Crimson Tide defeated St. Mary’s by a score of 80-66 and Robert Morris by a score of 90-81. Alabama has won five of their last six games and they finished third in the SEC standings with a 13-5 record. Alabama has scored 91.4 points per game and they have allowed 81.2 points against per game, while also averaging 42.7 rebounds and 17.3 assists per game this season. Mark Sears is averaging 19.0 points, 3.0 rebounds, and 5.1 assists per game, while Aden Holloway is averaging 11.6 points, 1.9 rebounds, and 2.0 assists per game this year. Alabama is shooting 48.3% from the field, 71.6% on free throws, and 35% on three pointers this season. 

Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview

The Duke Blue Devils are 34-3 (19-1) this season after they defeated Arizona by a score of 100-93 in their last game. Duke led 48-42 at halftime and scored 52 points in the second half to secure the win. The Blue Devils shot 60% from the field, 57.9% on three pointers, and 85.2% on free throws in the game. Cooper Flagg led Duke with 30 points and seven assists, while Kon Knueppel added 20 points and four rebounds in the game. Duke struggled to gain separation from Arizona in the first half, but they ended the half on a 6-0 run, which gave them enough of a lead to get the win. 

Prior to that game, the Blue Devils defeated Baylor by a score of 89-66 and Mount St. Mary’s by a score of 93-49. Duke has won 14 games in a row and they finished first in the ACC standings with a 19-1 record. Duke has scored 83.6 points per game and they have allowed 62.5 points against per game, while also averaging 38.3 rebounds and 17.0 assists per game this season. Cooper Flagg is averaging 19.0 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 4.3 assists per game, while Kon Knueppel is averaging 14.2 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 2.7 assists per game this year. Duke is shooting 48.8% from the field, 78.4% on free throws, and 37.7% on three pointers this season. 

Why Duke will beat Alabama 

• Duke has won each of its last 10 night games.
• Alabama has lost five of its last six games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.
• Alabama has lost the first half in each of its last five games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Why Alabama will beat Duke 

• Alabama has won 11 of its last 12 games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Forty-seven of Duke’s last 49 games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 167 or fewer points.
• Six of Alabama’s last seven games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 179+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Duke ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (92.9).
• Duke ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+33.5).
• Alabama ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (68.4).
• Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for pace this season (75.4).

Alabama vs Duke Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup with very high scoring offenses and both scored 100 points on Thursday, so this should be a very entertaining game. Duke has won 14 games in a row and Cooper Flagg has been unstoppable for most of the season. Alabama is the highest scoring team in the country, but they play very little defense, which has really hurt them in their losses. The Crimson Tide have to turn this game into a track meet if they want to win, as they will not win a low scoring battle. I know this number is very high, but I think we are going to see both teams get into the 90’s. Take the over here. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 174