Alabama State vs Mississippi State Prediction 12/29/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Alabama State vs Mississippi State Prediction for this College Basketball game on Monday, December 30th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Preview

Mississippi State Bulldogs have a 7-5 record this season and are sitting in the 16th place of the SEC. They have a 5-1 home record and are coming off a 71-66 home win against Memphis. Their previous three games were an 87-83 home win against LIU, an 82-74 home win against Utah, and a 65-62 away loss against San Francisco.

Offensively, Mississippi State averages 78.8 points per game, while allowing 77.5 points per game defensively. The Bulldogs shoot with 45% from the field and grab 39.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.8 assists per game. They average 4.3 blocks per game and 6.7 steals per game defensively.

Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State in scoring, with an average of 21.3 points per game, while shooting with 41.8% from the field and 81.4% from the free throw line. Quentin Ballard leads the team in rebounds with 6.9 per game, while Josh Hubbard also leads the team in assists with 3.8 per game.

Alabama State Hornets Preview

Alabama State Hornets have a 3-9 record this season and are sitting in the 6th place of the SWAC. They have a 1-8 away record and are coming off an 88-67 away loss against Memphis. Their previous three games were an 88-51 away loss against Cincinnati, an 85-77 away loss against Missouri, and a 74-64 away loss against UT Martin.

Offensively, Alabama State averages 75.8 points per game, while allowing 82.8 points per game defensively. The Hornets shoot with 43% from the field and grab 36.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.9 assists per game. They average 3.2 blocks per game and 8.3 steals per game defensively.

Amarrion Anderson leads Alabama State in scoring, with an average of 17.4 points per game, while shooting with 36.8% from the field and 77.6% from the free throw line. Jordan Stanback leads the team in rebounds with 4.9 per game, while Amarrion Anderson also leads the team in assists with 3.8 per game.

Alabama State Hornets @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends: December 29, 2025

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• Mississippi State has won 26 of its last 27 night games against non-Conference opponents at Humphrey Coliseum.
• Alabama State has lost each of its last 14 Monday games against non-Conference opponents.
• Mississippi State has won the first half in each of its last seven night games against the Southwestern Athletic Conference.

Alabama State vs Mississippi State Prediction

In this Alabama State vs Mississippi State Prediction, Mississippi State is coming as -19.5 home favorites. Mississippi State has been the better team this season, as they have a better overall record and are almost perfect at home, while Alabama State has been terrible on the road, with just one win in 9 road games. They will also be playing their 10th road game in 13 total games this season and are 1-7 in their last 8 games, having an inferior defense, allowing 5.3 points per game more than Mississippi State. The value here lies with the home team, so take Mississippi State and lay the points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Mississippi State -19.5