Pick details
| MATCHUP | Air Force Falcons | Wright State Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Spread | +10.5 -105 | -10.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +470 | -650 |
| Total | Over 159.5 (-110) | Under 159.5 (-110) |
| Where | Nutter Center, Dayton, OH | |
| When | Monday, November 2, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Air Force vs Wright State Prediction
Wright State is possibly the more talented team, but we’re getting free double-digit points with an Air Force squad that returns all five of its starters. That’s rare in today’s college basketball and should pay off greatly, at least early in the season. You can make money with these teams that bring back a great deal of production. Most teams around the country hit the portal hard and will look different. A lot of roster turnover usually leads to adjustments and sloppy play early. Teams are adjusting on the fly. Not the case for Air Force. Give me the points.
Air Force Falcons Betting Preview
Air Force won three games last season and enters the Joe Crispin era. Air Force has won 16 games over the last three seasons.
Kam Sanders returns after averaging 12.5 points and 4.2 rebounds, while Lucas Hobin averaged 11.4 points and 2 rebounds. Caleb Walker is the third returning scorer to average double digits, and Eli Robinson played 868 minutes last season. Air Force returns nearly its entire roster from last season, including all five starters. That’s rare in today’s college basketball and should lead to success. The Falcons will emphasize up-tempo play and better efficiency after ranking near the bottom nationally in scoring. Air Force should see improvement across the board with the chemistry on the roster.
Wright State Raiders Betting Preview
Wright State made the big dance last season and enters year three under coach Clint Sargent. Wright State has never made the NCAA Tournament in back-to-back seasons.
Dominic Pangonis returns after averaging 8.9 points and 2.6 rebounds, while Kellen Pickett averaged 8.5 points and 5.4 rebounds. Andrea Holden played in 498 minutes last season and is the only other returning player. Wright State lost a lot of high-level production, but there are nice depth pieces returning, including Pickett, who was Horizon League Freshman of the Year. Wright State is the top contender in the Horizon League with a realistic path to another regular-season title and back-to-back trips to the big dance.
Why the Wright State Raiders will win
- Air Force has lost each of its last 27 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Wright State has won each of its last six night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Wright State has won the first half in eight of its last nine night games against non-Conference opponents at Nutter Center.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Air Force’s last 21 road night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
- Eleven of Wright State’s last 12 games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 159 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Wright State ranked T6th for free throw percentage (90.9%) in last season’s NCAA Tournament.
- Wright State ranked T8th for turnovers per game (7.0) in last season’s NCAA Tournament.
- Air Force has recorded the longest losing streak among Division 1 teams this season (25 games).
- Air Force has recorded the longest home losing streak among Division 1 teams this season (13 games).
Randy Chambers's Pick: Air Force +10.5
