Air Force vs San Diego State Prediction 12/17/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Air Force Falcons and the San Diego State Aztecs meet Wednesday in college basketball action from Viejas Arena in San Diego. Here’s an Air Force vs San Diego State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Air Force vs San Diego State pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Air Force Falcons Betting Preview

The Falcons opened the season with losses to Belmont, Austin Peay, Long Island U and Miami-OH. The next three were wins over Alabama State, SIU Edwardsville and IUPUI, however. Since then it’s been four straight losses to Northern Colorado, South Dakota, Pacific and Navy, giving Air Force a rough 3-8 overall record in the books over their first 11 outings of the season.

In the Navy game on Sunday, the Falcons went into the locker room with a one-point edge. Air Force was outscored 37-31 the rest of the way however, leading to a 61-56 loss in the end. Tops in scoring was Kam Sanders with 15 points, three assists and four rebounds. Caleb Walker added 12 points with four rebounds and three assists while Lucas Hobin had 10 point and seven boards.

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

Over on the San Diego State side, they’ve only got eight games in the bag so far. The Aztecs went 2-2 over the first four, beating Long Beach State and Idaho State before losses to Troy and Michigan. SDSU is 3-1 since then with a lone loss to Baylor among wins versus Oregon, Utah Valley and Lamar in that time. That gives San Diego State a 5-3 overall record in their eight games this year.

Matched up against Lamar back on December 10, the Aztecs were ahead by 10 at halftime. San Diego State hit a 38-30 run the rest of the way, leading to an 89-71 win. Miles Byrd led the way with 19 points, five rebounds and four assists. BJ Davis added 16 points with five rebounds and two assists while Magoon Gwath had 10 points and six boards in the win.

Air Force Falcons @ San Diego State Aztecs Betting Trends: December 17, 2025

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

• Air Force has lost each of its last 17 night games against the Mountain West Conference.
• San Diego State has won each of its last 11 games against Air Force.
• San Diego State has won the first half in 20 of its last 22 games against Air Force.

Air Force vs San Diego State Prediction

I’ll stay with San Diego State. The Aztecs dispatched a middling Lamar team without too much difficulty in their last outing, hitting 48.3 percent from the field with a 38-29 rebounding edge and a 38-10 advantage on points in the paint. San Diego State did give up 13 turnovers, but held the Cardinals to just 36.2 percent shooting on defense. During this current 3-1 run, the Aztecs have hit 77 or more points in all four games. They’ve been off the court for a whole week, though.

As for Air Force, they shot just 39.6 percent from the field and 57.1 percent (8-of-14) from the line in their latest loss to Navy. The Falcons were pretty competitive on the boards and in the paint however, while allowing just 39.6 percent shooting to the Midshipmen. Air Force hasn’t cracked 65 points in any installment of this current four-game losing streak. That’s probably not going to cut it in this matchup either.

Andrew Jett's Pick: San Diego State Aztecs -23.5