Air Force vs Fresno State Prediction 2/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Air Force vs Fresno State Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 14th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Fresno State Bulldogs Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs have an 11-13 overall record and a 5-8 record in the Mountain West. They are coming off a 91-78 road loss against Utah State and their previous three games were a 69-59 road loss against Nevada, a 98-96 home win against UNLV and a 79-62 road win against Air Force.

Offensively, Fresno State averages 72.9 points per game, while allowing 72.2 points per game defensively. The Bulldogs shoot with 44% from the field and grab 34.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.1 assists per game. They average 2.0 blocks per game and 7.1 steals per game defensively.

Jake Heidbreder leads Fresno State in scoring, with an average of 17.5 points per game, while shooting with 41.9% from the field and 89.8% from the free throw line. Wilson Jacques is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.5 per game. Zaon Collins leads the team in assists with 4.7 per game.

Air Force Falcons Preview

The Air Force Falcons have a 3-21 overall record and a 0-13 record in the Mountain West. They are coming off a 91-74 home loss against Colorado State and their previous three games were an 88-54 home loss against San Diego State, an 81-57 road loss against Grand Canyon and a 79-62 home loss against Fresno State.

Offensively, Air Force averages 61.4 points per game, while allowing 78.4 points per game defensively. The Falcons shoot with 43% from the field and grab 29.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.3 assists per game. They average 2.6 blocks per game and 5.7 steals per game defensively.

Caleb Walker leads Air Force in scoring, with an average of 11.8 points per game, while shooting with 71.8% from the field and 51.8% from the free throw line, and is also the team’s leading rebounder with 5.2 per game. Kam Sanders leads the team in assists with 3.3 per game.

Air Force Falcons @ Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends: February 14, 2026

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

• Air Force has lost each of its last 18 games against Conference opponents.
• Fresno State has won five of its last six games against Air Force.
• Air Force has lost the first half in each of its last 13 games.

Why the Air Force Falcons will win

• Fresno State has lost eight of its last nine home day games against Conference opponents.
• The road team has won three of Air Force’s last four games.
• Fresno State has lost the first half in 11 of its last 13 home day games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Fresno State’s last six home day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 133 or fewer points.
• Six of Air Force’s last seven road games have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.

Air Force vs Fresno State Prediction

In this Air Force vs Fresno State Prediction, Fresno State is coming as -17 home favorites. Fresno State has been the better team this season as they are facing a terrible Air Force squad with a 3-21 record and 0-13 conference record. They are also winless on the road and terrible against the spread, with an 8-16 ATS record so far. Fresno might be 2-4 in its last 6 games but is 7-1 against the spread and are up against the worst offense of the whole country. Take Fresno State and lay the points at home for a comfortable win.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Fresno State -17