Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction 3/13/25 College Basketball Picks

Bulldogs Looking For Measure Of Revenge

Josh Hubbard leads the Bulldogs in scoring with 18.5 PPG and 3.3 APG while KeShawn Murphy has 11.6 PPG with 7.4 RPG to lead the Bulldogs in rebounding up to this point in the year and to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Mississippi State up to this point in the year. Claudell Harris Jr. has 9.8 PPG with 2.9 RPG and Riley Kugel has 9.4 PPG with 3 RPG and RJ Melendez also has 8.8 PPG with 4.4 RPG while Cameron Matthews has 7.3 PPG with 6.6 RPG and a team-high 3.6 APG to lead the Bulldogs in assists. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 80 PPG on 45.4% shooting from the field, 31.8% from three and 70% from the foul line this season.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• Mississippi State has won 10 of its last 11 night games against Missouri.
• Missouri has lost each of its last five games played at neutral venues.

Missouri Recap

The Missouri Tigers come into the SEC tournament as the 7-seed, finishing the year with an overall record of 21-10 including a 10-8 mark in SEC conference play.

Tigers Looking To Make Noise In SEC Tournament

Caleb Grill leads the Tigers in scoring with 14.4 PPG along with 3.8 RPG while Mark Mitchell has 14.1 PPG with 4.6 RPG and 2 APG and Tamar Bates has 13.1 PPG with 2.7 RPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Missouri so far this season. Anthony Robinson II has 9.4 PPG with 3.1 RPG and a team-high 3.5 APG to lead the Tigers in the assist department while Tony Perkins has 8.1 PPG with 2.5 APG and Trent Pierce has 7.1 PPG with 3.4 RPG as well so far this season. Josh Gray also has a team-high 5.1 RPG to lead Missouri on the glass up to this point in the year. As a team, Missouri is averaging 84.6 PPG on 48.9% shooting from the field, 37.3% from three and 72.8% from the foul line this season.

Why the Missouri Tigers will win

• Mississippi State has lost nine of its last 10 games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• Missouri has won five of its last six games when playing with a rest advantage.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Missouri's last 14 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
• Each of Mississippi State's last 10 Conference Tournament games have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.

Mississippi State vs. Missouri Prediction

I’m on the over in this one. Missouri has been scoring really well as of late despite finishing the year with three losses in a row and as you can probably guess, the reason they’ve been losing those games is because of a lack of defense. Mississippi State on the other side, has scored 91+ points in back-to-back games and scored pretty well down the stretch. The lone meeting this season went over the total in a blowout and with this game expected to be more competitive, I think the over doesn’t take as much effort to hit. Give me the over in this one.