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St. Mary’s vs Loyola Marymount Prediction 2/27/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Loyola Marymount (16-13) vs St. Mary's (25-4)

February 27, 2025 at 11:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Loyola Marymount +13.5 — Over/Under: 132.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Saint Mary’s Gaels are visiting the Loyola Marymount Lions on Thursday, February 27th at the Gersten Pavilion. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Saint Mary’s Gaels vs Loyola Marymount Lions Prediction. We will examine:

The Loyola Marymount Lions’ recent form and player performance

The Saint Mary’s Gaels’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Loyola Marymount Lions

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Saint Mary’s Gaels

Recent betting trends in games played between the Saint Mary’s Gaels and Loyola Marymount Lions

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Saint Mary’s Gaels vs Loyola Marymount Lions game

Loyola Marymount Lions Preview

The Loyola Marymount Lions have a 16-13 record this season and are sitting in 6th place in the West Coast. They are coming off a 93-72 win over Pepperdine. The Lions are 12-16 against the spread, and 13-15 in over/under, while having a 11-5 home record.

Offensively, Loyola Marymount is averaging 70.6 points per game, which ranks 276th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71.2 points per game (159th). The Lions shoot 43.6% from the field (244th) and 32.9% from beyond the arc (250th). The Lions shoot 71.7% from the free-throw line (196th) and are grabbing 33.6 rebounds per game (281st).

Caleb Stone-Carrawell leads Loyola Marymount in scoring with an average of 13.5 points, while Jevon Porter adds 12.5 points and a team-high 7.4 rebounds per game.

Saint Mary’s Gaels Preview

The Saint Mary’s Gaels have a 25-4 record this season and are sitting in first place in the West Coast. They are coming off a 74-67 win over Gonzaga. The Gaels are 14-14 against the spread, and 11-16-1 in over/under, while having an 8-1 road record.

Offensively, Saint Mary’s is averaging 74.8 points per game, which ranks 154th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 60.9 points per game, which is the 5th-best in the nation. The Gaels shoot 46% from the field (112th) and 33.4% from beyond the arc (220th). The Gaels shoot 69.4% from the free-throw line (274th) and are grabbing 39.4 rebounds per game, which is the 23rd-best in the nation.

Augustas Marciulionis leads Saint Mary’s in scoring this season, with 14.2 points and a team-high 6.2 assists, while Paulius Murauskas adds 12.8 points and a team-high 8.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Loyola Marymount Lions will win

  • The home team has won five of the last six games between Saint Mary’s and Loyola Marymount.
  • The home team has won the first half in each of Loyola Marymount’s last five games.

Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win

  • Saint Mary’s has won 24 of its last 25 games against Loyola Marymount.
  • Loyola Marymount has lost 13 of its last 14 games against AP-ranked opponents at Gersten Pavilion.
  • Saint Mary’s has won the first half in each of its last 16 games against Loyola Marymount.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Loyola Marymount ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (77.8%).
  • Loyola Marymount ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.1).
  • Saint Mary’s ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (57.0%).
  • Saint Mary’s ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (17.7).

Saint Mary’s Gaels vs Loyola Marymount Lions Prediction

Saint Mary’s is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against Loyola Marymount, but Loyola Marymount is 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 meetings. Over is 7-0 in their last 7 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, Saint Mary’s won 81-56 at home, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

In this Saint Mary’s Gaels vs Loyola Marymount Lions Prediction, Saint Mary’s is coming as -13.5 road favorites. Saint Mary’s is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, and have been one of the best road teams in the nation. The Lions have been good at home, but are struggling lately, as they are 2-5 in their last 7 games and 2-4 against the spread in their last 6. The Gaels are looking unstoppable this season, and are 9-1 in their last 10 games and 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 road games. The value here lies with the road team, so give me the Saint Mary’s Gaels and the points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Saint Mary's Gaels -13.5

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