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Indiana vs Michigan State Prediction 2/11/25 College Basketball Picks

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Michigan State (19-4) vs Indiana (14-10)

February 11, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Michigan State -11.5 — Over/Under: 148.5

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In this article, we will formulate an Indiana vs Michigan State prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, February 11th at the Breslin Center in East Lansing, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Indiana Hoosiers Betting Preview

The Indiana Hoosiers are 14-10 (5-8) this year after they lost to Michigan by a score of 70-67 in their last game. Indiana trailed 43-27 at halftime, but they did score 40 points in the second half and came up just short in the loss. The Hoosiers shot 41.7% from the field, 31.6% on three-pointers, and 73.3% on free throws in the game. Malik Reneau led Indiana with 16 points and five assists, while Mackenzie Mgbako added 15 points and 11 rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Hoosiers lost to Wisconsin by a score of 76-64 and Purdue by a score of 81-76. Indiana has lost five games in a row and they are currently tied for 11th in the Big Ten standings with a 5-8 record. Indiana has scored 76.1 points per game and they have allowed 73.5 points per game, while also averaging 37.4 rebounds and 15.9 assists per game this season. Oumar Ballo is averaging 13.7 points, 9.6 rebounds, and 2.4 assists per game, while Mackenzie Mgbako is averaging 13.3 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 1.2 assists per game this year. Indiana is shooting 46.3% from the field, 71.9% on free throws, and 32.2% on three-pointers this season. 

Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview

The Michigan State Spartans are 19-4 (10-2) this season after they defeated Oregon by a score of 86-74 in their last game. Michigan State trailed 50-36 at halftime, but they scored 50 points in the second half for the win. The Spartans shot 50% from the field, 44.4% on three-pointers, and 88.9% on free throws in the game. Jase Richardson led Michigan State with 29 points and five rebounds, while Jaxon Kohler added 14 points and 12 rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Spartans lost to UCLA by a score of 63-61 and USC by a score of 70-64. Michigan State has lost two of their last three games and they are currently tied for second in the Big Ten standings with a 10-2 record. Michigan State has scored 79.8 points per game and they have allowed 67.4 points per game, while also averaging 40.7 rebounds and 17.9 assists per game this season. Jaden Akins is averaging 13.4 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 1.6 assists per game, while Jase Richardson is averaging 10.2 points, 2.5 rebounds, and 2.0 assists per game this year. Michigan State is shooting 46.9% from the field, 80.9% on free throws, and 29.3% on three-pointers this season. 

Why Michigan State will beat Indiana

  • Michigan State has won each of its last 12 games at Jack Breslin Student Events Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Indiana has lost each of its last seven night games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Indiana has lost the first half in seven of its last eight night games against AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Thirty-one of Michigan State’s last 35 night games against the Big Ten Conference at Jack Breslin Student Events Center have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.
  • Nine of Indiana’s last 11 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 149+ points.

Indiana vs Michigan State Prediction 

Indiana comes into this matchup trying to snap a lengthy losing streak, but they will be on the road for this game. The Hoosiers have lost five games in a row and they have scored just 67 and 64 points in their last two games. Indiana has played Michigan, Purdue, and Maryland tough in recent weeks, losing by a combined nine points. Michigan State snapped their two-game losing streak with a great second half against Oregon, but they looked pretty bad in the first half. The Spartans are scoring nearly 80 points per game this season and they should feast on this poor Indiana defense. Take MSU to cover at home. 

David Racey's Pick: Michigan State -11.5

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