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New Mexico vs Utah State Prediction 2/1/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Utah State (19-2) vs New Mexico (17-4)

February 1, 2025 at 09:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Utah State -4 — Over/Under: 158.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The New Mexico Lobos are visiting the Utah State Aggies on Saturday, February 1st at the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Mexico Lobos Utah State Aggies Prediction. We will examine:

The Utah State Aggies’ recent form and player performance

The New Mexico Lobos’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Utah State Aggies

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New Mexico Lobos

Recent betting trends in games played between New Mexico Lobos and Utah State Aggies

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the New Mexico Lobos vs Utah State Aggies game

Utah State Aggies Preview

The Utah State Aggies have a 19-2 record this season and are sitting in the first place in the Mountain West. Utah State is coming off a 76-71 win over UNLV. The Aggies are 10-10 against the spread, and 9-9-2 in over/under, while having an 11-1 home record.

Offensively, Utah State is averaging 82.4 points per game, which is the 29th-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 67.7 points per game (72nd). The Aggies shoot 49.8% from the field, which is the 10th-best in the nation, and 37.5% from beyond the arc (37th). The Aggies shoot 71.2% from the free-throw line (104th) and are grabbing 35.1 rebounds per game (217th).

Ian Martinez leads Utah State in scoring with an average of 16.7 points, 3.1 rebounds, and 3 assists, while Mason Falsley adds 15.2 points and team-highs both in rebounding with 6.2 and in assists made, with 3.8 per game.

New Mexico Lobos Preview

The New Mexico Lobos have a 17-4 record this season and are sitting in second place in the Mountain West. New Mexico is coming off a 75-73 win over UNLV. The Lobos are 10-10 against the spread, and 10-10 in over/under while having a 4-2 road record.

Offensively, New Mexico is averaging 83.4 points per game, which is 19th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 72.4 points per game (215th). The Lobos shoot 46.1% from the field (112th) and 34.8% from beyond the arc (137th). The Lobos shoot 68.8% from the free-throw line (271st) and are grabbing 40.4 rebounds per game (22nd).

Donovan Dent leads New Mexico in scoring with an average of 19.6 points and a team-high 6.6 assists, while Nelly Junior Joseph adds 13.5 points and a team-high 10.4 rebounds.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

  • Utah State has won each of its last nine games against the Mountain West Conference at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum.
  • New Mexico has lost each of its last seven games at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum.
  • New Mexico has lost the first half in each of its last four games at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

  • New Mexico has won 13 of its last 14 games against the Mountain West Conference.
  • New Mexico has won the first half in 15 of its last 18 night games.

Total Points Facts

  • Twenty-five of Utah State’s last 30 night games against Conference opponents at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
  • Five of New Mexico’s last six games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Utah State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (18.9).
  • Utah State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.69).
  • New Mexico ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (65.6%).
  • New Mexico ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (74.2).

New Mexico Lobos vs Utah State Aggies Head-to-Head

Utah State is 8-1 in their last 9 meetings against New Mexico, and are 5-3 against the spread in their last 8 meetings. Over is 3-0 in their last 3 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, Utah State won 87-85 at home, not covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

New Mexico Lobos vs Utah State Aggies Prediction

In this New Mexico Lobos vs Utah State Aggies Prediction, Utah State is coming as -4 home favorites. Utah State is rightfully favored, as they are having an excellent season so far, and have been almost perfect at home. The Aggies are in excellent form, with 9-1 wins in their last 10 games, and have dominated the Lobos in recent years. Only one way to go here, and that is to side with the Utah State Aggies at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Utah State Aggies -4

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