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TCU vs UCF Prediction 1/25/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

UCF (12-6) vs TCU (10-8)

January 25, 2025 at 04:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: UCF -4 — Over/Under: 149

(Get latest betting odds)

The TCU Horned Frogs are visiting the UCF Knights on Saturday, January 25th at the Addition Financial Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a TCU Horned Frogs vs UCF Knights Prediction. We will examine:

The UCF Knights’ recent form and player performance

The TCU Horned Frogs’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UCF Knights

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the TCU Horned Frogs

Recent betting trends in games played between TCU Horned Frogs and UCF Knights

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the TCU Horned Frogs vs UCF Knights game

UCF Knights Preview

The UCF Knights have a 12-6 record this season and are sitting in 10th place in the Big 12. UCF is coming off an 83-108 loss to Iowa State. The Knights are 9-9 against the spread, and 11-6-1 in over/under, while having a 9-2 home record. 

Offensively, UCF is averaging 79.2 points per game, which is 77th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 79.1 points per game (336th). The Knights shoot 42.2% from the field (317th) and 34.3% from beyond the arc (160th). The Knights shoot 76.8% from the free-throw line (41st) and are grabbing 37.1 rebounds per game (115th).

Keyshawn Hall leads UCF in scoring with an average of 16.7 points and a team-high 6.7 rebounds, while Jordan Ivy-Curry adds 14.8 points and 3.3 rebounds.

TCU Horned Frogs Preview

The TCU Horned Frogs have a 10-8 record this season and are sitting in the 9th place in the Big 12. TCU is coming off a 61-74 loss to Kansas. The Horned Frogs are 6-12 against the spread, and 6-11-1 in over/under while having a 1-3 road record.

Offensively, TCU is averaging 69.9 points per game, which ranks 291st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 66.9 points per game (58th). The Horned Frogs shoot 42.9% from the field (284th) and 32.7% from beyond the arc (243rd). The Horned Frogs shoot 63% from the free-throw line (356th) and are grabbing 34.8 rebounds per game (242nd).

Noah Reynolds leads TCU in scoring with an average of 12.6 points and a team-high 3.4 assists, while Vesean Allette adds 11.6 points and 3.6 rebounds.

Why the UCF Knights will win

  • UCF has won each of its last eight games at Addition Financial Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • TCU has lost three of its last four games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • UCF has won the first half in each of its last six day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

  • TCU has won each of its last four day games.
  • UCF has lost four of its last five games against the Big 12 Conference at Addition Financial Arena.

TCU Horned Frogs vs UCF Knights Prediction

Both teams are tied 1-1 in wins in their two previous meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, UCF won 79-77 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total. In this TCU Horned Frogs vs UCF Knights Prediction, UCF is coming as a -4 home favorites. UCF is very strong at home and is 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 games. TCU is not very effective on the road this season and has been unstable for the past month. The Horned Frogs are also 2-4 against the spread in their last 6 games, so the value in this matchup lies with the home team. Pick the UCF Knights and lay the points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: UCF Knights -4

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