San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction 1/11/25 College Basketball Picks

New Mexico (13-3) vs San Diego State (10-3)

Game Info: Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 1:00 pm (The Pit)

Betting Odds: New Mexico -3.5 -- Over/Under: 148.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: CBS

The San Diego State Aztecs are visiting the New Mexico Lobos on Saturday, January 11th at The Pit. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction. We will examine:

The New Mexico Lobos' recent form and player performance

The San Diego State Aztecs' recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New Mexico Lobos

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego State Aztecs

Recent betting trends in games played between San Diego State Aztecs and New Mexico Lobos

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos game

New Mexico Lobos Preview

The New Mexico Lobos have a 13-3 record this season and are sitting in the first place in the Mountain West. New Mexico is coming off a 61-53 win over Wyoming. The Lobos are 7-8 against the spread, and 9-6 in over/under while having an 8-1 home record.

Offensively, New Mexico is averaging 85.4 points per game, which is the 14th-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 74.8 points per game (273rd). The Lobos shoot 46.4% from the field (112th) and 35.7% from beyond the arc (90th). The Lobos shoot 69.6% from the free-throw line (247th) and are grabbing 39.6 rebounds per game (41st).

Donovan Dent leads New Mexico in scoring with an average of 19.3 points and a team-high 6.9 assists, while Mustapha Amzil adds 13.7 points and 5.8 rebounds. New Mexico will meet San Jose State and Boise State after this game.

San Diego State Aztecs Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs have a 10-3 record this season and are sitting in the 6th place in the Mountain West. San Diego State is coming off a 67-38 win over Air Force. The Aztecs are 6-6 against the spread, and 5-7 in over/under while having a 2-0 road record. 

Offensively, San Diego State is averaging 73.9 points per game, which ranks 226th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 61.9 points per game, which is the 14th-best in the nation. The Aztecs shoot 44% from the field (232nd) and 35.6% from beyond the arc (93rd). The Aztecs shoot 69.5% from the free-throw line (249th) and are grabbing 38.6 rebounds per game (68th).

Myles Bird leads San Diego State in scoring with an average of 13.3 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Nick Boyd adds 13.2 points and 4.5 rebounds.

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

  • New Mexico has won each of its last nine games against the Mountain West Conference.
  • New Mexico has won the first half in each of its last four day games against the Mountain West Conference.

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

  • San Diego State has won eight of its last nine away games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • San Diego State has won the first half in each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction

San Diego State is 5-3 in their last 8 meetings against New Mexico, while New Mexico is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, New Mexico won 68-61 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went under the total. In this San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, New Mexico is coming as a -3.5 home favorites. Both teams have been playing extremely well lately, and both have been involved in some lower-scoring games lately, as they are 6-3 to the under in their last 9 games combined. Most of their recent meetings have also gone under the total, and I expect this trend to continue today. Take the under.

Nikos’s Pick Under 148.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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