Pepperdine vs Pacific Prediction College Basketball Picks 1/4/25

Pick details

Pacific (5-12) vs Pepperdine (6-10)

January 4, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Pacific +2 / Pepperdine -2 — Over/Under: 148.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Pepperdine Waves are visiting the Pacific Tigers on Saturday, January 4th at the Alex G. Spanos Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pepperdine Waves vs Pacific Tigers Prediction. We will examine:

The Pacific Tigers’ recent form and player performance

The Pepperdine Waves’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pacific Tigers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pepperdine Waves

Recent betting trends in games played between Pepperdine Waves and Pacific Tigers

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Pepperdine Waves vs Pacific Tigers game

Pacific Tigers Preview

The Pacific Tigers have a 5-12 record this season and are sitting in the 11th place of the West Cast. The Tigers are coming off an 81-89 loss to San Francisco. The Rebels are 7-8 against the spread, and 5-10 in over/under while having a 3-4 home record this season. Pacific has eight consecutive losses and are 7-3 to the under in their last 10 games.

Offensively, Pacific is averaging 70.5 points per game, which ranks 295th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 72.3 points per game (217th). The Tigers shoot 43% from the field (280th) and 28.1% from beyond the arc (353rd). The Tigers shoot 71.2% from the free-throw line (183rd) and are grabbing 38.1 rebounds per game (99th).

Elias Ralph leads Pacific in scoring with an average of 17.4 points and a team-high 7.9 rebounds, while Elijah Fisher adds 16.3 points and 5.8 rebounds.

Pepperdine Waves Preview

The Pepperdine Waves have a 6-10 record this season and are sitting in 9th place in the West Coast. The Waves are coming off a 51-71 loss to Saint Mary’s. The Waves are 8-7 against the spread, and 8-7 in over/under, while they have a 0-6 road record. Pepperdine is coming off three consecutive losses, but are 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 games. Over is 5-2 in their last 7 games.

Offensively, Pepperdine is averaging 75.7 points per game, which ranks 188th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 72.7 points per game (228th). The Waves shoot 46.2% from the field (134th) and 34.6% from beyond the arc (147th). The Waves shoot 73.5% from the free-throw line (124th) and are grabbing 37.4 rebounds per game (137th).

Stefan Todorovic leads Pepperdine in scoring this season, with an average of 19.5 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Moe Odum adds 12.9 points and a team-high 7.5 assists. 

Why the Pacific Tigers will win

  • Pepperdine has lost each of its last six road day games against the West Coast Conference.
  • Pacific has won six of its last seven home games against Pepperdine at Alex G. Spanos Center.
  • Pepperdine has lost the first half in each of its last six road day games against the West Coast Conference.

Why the Pepperdine Waves will win

  • Pacific has lost each of its last 21 games against the West Coast Conference.
  • Pepperdine has won each of its last three games against Pacific.
  • Pacific has lost the first half in 12 of its last 13 games against the West Coast Conference.

Pepperdine Waves vs Pacific Tigers Prediction

Pepperdine has three straight wins against Pacific and is 3-0 against the spread. Over/under is 5-4 in their last 9 meetings and in their most recent meeting last season, the Waves won 102-43 at home. In this Pepperdine Waves vs Pacific Tigers Prediction, Pepperdine is coming as -2 road favorites. Pepperdine is better offensively, scoring 5.2 points more than Pacific, while Pacific is better defensively, allowing 0.4 points less. The Waves are winning by an average of 3 points this season, while the Tigers are losing by an average of 1.8 points. The Tigers have been struggling mightily with their shot this season, as they rank in the bottom 80 of the nation in field goal percentage while having the 14th-worst 3-point percentage in the nation. The value here lies with the road team, so pick the Pepperdine Waves and lay the points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Pepperdine Waves -2

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