Oregon vs USC Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/4/24

Pick details

USC (5-3) vs Oregon (8-0)

December 4, 2024 at 10:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: USC +6 / Oregon -6 — Over/Under: 148

(Get latest betting odds)

The Oregon Ducks are visiting the USC Trojans on Wednesday, December 4th at the Galen Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Oregon Ducks vs USC Trojans Prediction.

USC Trojans Preview

The USC Trojans have a 5-3 record this season and are coming off a 73-83 loss in New Mexico. The Trojans are 1-7 against the spread, and 5-3 in over/under while having a 5-1 home record. 

Offensively, USC is averaging 73.4 points per game, which ranks 232nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 72.1 points per game (206th). The Trojans shoot 47.2% from the field (94th) and 31.4% from beyond the arc (267th). The Trojans shoot 72.7% from the free-throw line (136th) and are grabbing 29.5 rebounds per game (358th).

Josh Cohen leads USC in scoring, with an average of 12.3 points, while Desmond Claude adds 11.8 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3.3 assists.

Oregon Ducks Preview

The Oregon Ducks have a perfect 8-0 record this season and are coming off an 83-81 win in Alabama. The Beavers are 5-3 against the spread, and 4-4 in over/under, while they are 1-0 on the road. 

Offensively, Oregon is averaging 77.1 points per game, which ranks 166th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 58.1 points per game, which is the 7th-best in the nation. The Ducks shoot 49.5% from the field (38th) and 38.9% from beyond the arc (27th). The Ducks shoot 78.1% from the free-throw line (28th) and are grabbing 37.4 rebounds per game (151st).

Michael Rataj leads Oregon in scoring with an average of 16.7 points and a team-high 9.4 rebounds, while Nate Kingz adds 12.6 points and 3.1 rebounds.

Why the USC Trojans will win

  • USC has won seven of its last eight home games.
  • Oregon has lost four of its last five night games against the Big Ten Conference.
  • USC has won the first half in each of its last six night games at Galen Center.

Why the Oregon Ducks will win

  • Oregon has won each of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • USC has lost three of its last four night games.
  • Oregon has won the first half in each of its last five games against USC.

Matchup/League Facts

  • USC ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (29.5).
  • USC ranks 43rd among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.55).
  • Oregon ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.64).
  • Oregon ranks 47th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (12.7%).

Oregon Ducks vs USC Trojans Prediction

Oregon is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against USC, and are 4-1 against the spread. Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 meetings. In their most recent meeting back in February, Oregon won 78-69 on the road. In this Oregon Ducks vs USC Trojans Prediction, Oregon is coming as -6 road favorites. Oregon is better both offensively, scoring 3.7 points more than USC, and defensively, allowing 14 points less, as they boast the 7th-best defense nationally and are winning their opponents by an average of 19 points. The Ducks are also 28th-best in free throw shooting, while the Trojans are one of the 10 worst teams in the nation in rebounding. Only one way to go here, so take the Oregon Ducks and lay the points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Oregon Ducks -6

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