Grambling State vs Cal Poly Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/26/24

The Grambling Tigers are visiting the Cal Poly Mustangs on Tuesday, November 26th at the Robert A. Mott Athletics Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Grambling Tigers vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction.

Cal Poly Mustangs Preview

The Cal Poly Mustangs have a 3-4 record this season and are coming off a 66-80 loss in Saint Mary’s. The Mustangs are 5-1 against the spread, and 4-2 in over/under while having a 2-0 road record. 

Offensively, Cal Poly is averaging 80.3 points per game, which ranks 124th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 80.7 points per game (335th). The Mustangs shoot 46.8% from the field (125th) and 34.3% from beyond the arc (166th). The Mustangs shoot 75% from the free-throw line (76th) and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game (243th).

Jarred Hyder leads Cal Poly in scoring with an average of 14.4 points and 3.4 rebounds, while Owen Koonce adds 13.6 points and 4.4 rebounds. Cal Poly will play against Stanford following this game.

Grambling Tigers Preview

The Grambling Tigers have a 1-4 record this season and are coming off a 69-80 loss to USC. The Tigers are 4-0 against the spread, and 1-3 in over/under, while they have a 0-4 road record. 

Offensively, Grambling is averaging 69 points per game, which ranks 304th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70.8 points per game (182nd). The Tigers shoot 44.4% from the field (212th), and 38.1% from beyond the arc (57th). The Tigers shoot 66.7% from the free-throw line (274th) and are grabbing 36.6 rebounds per game (209th).

Kintavious Dozier leads Grambling in scoring with an average of 13.8 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Antwan Burnett adds 12 points and a team-high 6.6 rebounds. Grambling will take on Pepperdine after this one.

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

• Grambling State has lost 17 of its last 18 games against non-conference opponents.
• The home team has won eight of Cal Poly’s last nine games.
• Grambling State has lost the first half in each of its last eight Tuesday night games against non-conference opponents.

Why the Grambling State Tigers will win

• Cal Poly has lost 15 of its last 16 games following a road loss.
• Grambling State has won eight of its last nine night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Cal Poly has lost the first half in 18 of its last 21 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Grambling State’s last six games has produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
• Fourteen of Cal Poly’s last 16 night games against non-conference opponents at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Cal Poly ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (11.7).
• Cal Poly ranks 358th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (17.4).
• Grambling State ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (21.4%).
• Grambling State ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (17.6).

Grambling Tigers vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction

In this Grambling Tigers vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction, Cal Poly is coming as a -5 home favorite. After a two-game losing streak, the Mustangs return back home, where they have been undefeated this season. On the other hand, the Tigers are on a free fall after winning their season opener, and have now four consecutive losses, all of them on the road, as they play their fifth straight road game. Cal Poly has the better offense, scoring 12.3 points more than Grambling, while the Tigers have the better defense, allowing 10 points less than their opponents. The home-court advantage will be the decisive factor in this game, so pick the Cal Poly Mustangs and lay the points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs -5