Alabama vs Purdue Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/15/24

The Alabama Crimson Tide are visiting the Purdue Boilermakers on Friday, November 15th at the Mackey Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Purdue Boilermakers Prediction.

Purdue Boilermakers Preview

The Purdue Boilermakers have a perfect 3-0 record this season and are tied with five more teams in the first place of the Big 10. The Boilermakers are 1-2 against the spread, and 2-1 in over/under this season while having a 3-0 home record.

Offensively, Purdue is averaging 84.7 points per game, which ranks them just inside the top 100 of the nation (99th), while allowing 69 points per game defensively (165th). The Boilermakers are one of the best shooting teams in the nation, ranking 13th in field goal percentage, with 54.4%, and 22nd in 3-point percentage, with 43.7%.

Purdue is coming off a 92-84 win over Yale, not covering the spread and the game went over the 144-point total. The Boilermakers shot extremely well both from the field, with 54%, and from beyond the arc, with 48%. Braden Smith led Purdue’s offense with 22 points, adding team-highs both in rebounding with 9 and in assists made, with 6.

Fletcher Loyer leads Purdue in scoring, with 17 points and 3 assists. Trey Kauffman-Renn adds 15.7 points and 5.7 rebounds. Purdue will face Marquette following this one.

Alabama Crimson Tide Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide are undefeated this season with a 3-0 record and are tied with five more teams in the first place of the Southeastern. The Crimson Tide are 1-2 against the spread, and 0-3 in over/under this season while having a 5-5 road record last season.

Offensively, Alabama is top-50 in the nation with 90 points per game, while allowing 65.7 points per game defensively (117th). The Crimson Tide are a top-100 team in field goal percentage, with 49.4% (92nd), but struggle from beyond the arc, with just 30.1% (264th). 

Alabama is coming off a 72-64 win against McNeese, not covering the spread and the game went under the 168-point total. The Crimson Tide played excellent defense, holding McNeese to just 39% from the field and into just 3 total assists. Grant Nelson led Alabama’s offense with 22 points on 6-9 shooting, adding a team-high 8 rebounds.

Mark Sears leads Alabama in scoring, with an average of 18 points and 3.7 rebounds. Latrell Wrightsell adds 12.3 points and 3.3 rebounds. Alabama will meet Illinois, Houston, and Rutgers after this game.

Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win

• Purdue has won each of its last 29 games against non-conference opponents at Mackey Arena.
• Alabama has lost nine of its last 12 games against AP-ranked opponents.
• Purdue has won the first half in each of its last 12 games against non-conference opponents at Mackey Arena.

Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win

• Alabama has won nine of its last 10 games against non-conference opponents.
• Alabama has won the first half in six of its last seven games against the Big Ten Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Purdue’s last 20 night games against AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 161 or fewer points.
• Each of Alabama’s last five Friday games against non-conference opponents has produced a total of 165+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Purdue ranks T3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (0.7).
• Purdue ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (64.2%).
• Alabama ranks T4th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (35.0).
• Alabama ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (23.7).

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction

Purdue leads Alabama 3-1 wins in their previous 4 meetings, going for 3-1 against the spread. In their previous meeting last year, Purdue won 92-86. In this Alabama Crimson Tide vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, Alabama is coming as a -2.5 road favorite, and rightfully so. While Alabama has the better numbers on offense and defense, Purdue boasts superior shooting percentages and is playing their fourth straight game at home. Purdue also won and covered the spread last year, so I expect more of the same in this game. Take the Purdue Boilermakers and lay the plus points at home.