Michigan quarterback Bryce Underwood (19) runs into the end zone for a touchdown against Oklahoma during the first half at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor on Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026.
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UTEP vs Michigan Prediction 9/19/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP UTEP Miners Michigan Wolverines
Team Records 1-1 2-0
Where Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
When Saturday, September 19, 2026
Time 03:30 PM EDT
TV BTN

In this article we will formulate a UTEP vs Michigan prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 19th at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 3 matchup. 

UTEP Miners Betting Preview

The UTEP Miners are 1-1 this season after they defeated Texas Southern by a score of 51-10 in their last game. UTEP led 21-10 at halftime and they won the second half 30-0 for the blowout win. The Miners out gained Texas Southern by a total of 491-211, went 5-10 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. EJ Colson Jr threw for 239 yards and four touchdowns, while Kam Thomas caught two passes for 92 yards and one score. Tavorus Jones rushed 16 times for 104 yards and one touchdown in the win. 

Prior to that game, UTEP lost to Oklahoma by a score of 51-0 in week one. The Miners have scored 25.5 points per game with 162.5 passing yards and 182.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 30.5 points against per game this season. EJ Colson Jr has thrown for 291 yards, four touchdowns, and zero interceptions, while Raymond Moore III has rushed 12 times for 142 yards and one touchdown this season. 

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

The Michigan Wolverines are 2-0 this year after they defeated Oklahoma by a score of 17-10 in week two. Michigan led 10-0 at halftime, but they needed a touchdown with about eight minutes left in the fourth to get the win. The Wolverines were out gained by a total of 289-263, went 4-13 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Bryce Underwood threw for 111 yards, while JJ Buchanan caught two passes for 48 yards. Underwood also led the ground game with 87 yards and one score on 18 carries in the win. 

Prior to that game, Michigan defeated Western Michigan by a score of 13-12 in week one. The Wolverines have scored 15.0 points per game with 140.5 passing yards and 129.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 11.0 points against per game this season. Bryce Underwood has thrown for 281 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while JJ Buchanan has eight receptions for 174 yards and one score this year. 

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

  • Michigan has won each of its last 30 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Michigan Stadium.
  • UTEP has lost 19 of its last 20 road games in September.
  • UTEP has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 road games against AP-ranked teams.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of UTEP’s last three games.
  • UTEP has lost the first half in each of its last eight September games against AP-ranked teams.

Why the UTEP Miners will win

  • Michigan has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine home games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Michigan’s last six games at Michigan Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of UTEP’s last five road games have gone OVER the total points line.

Michigan Wolverines Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 3, Savion Hiter ranks T1st in the Big Ten Conference amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

UTEP Miners Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 3, EJ Colson ranks 1st in the Mountain West Conference amongst qualified players for passer rating (174.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Michigan ranks T1st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (100.0).
  • Michigan ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
  • UTEP ranks T125th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (66.7).
  • UTEP ranks T121st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (8.5).

UTEP vs Michigan Prediction 

Michigan bounced back from that terrible week one performance with a great win against Oklahoma in week two, and their defense has been elite. The Wolverines have plenty of issues with Underwood at quarterback, but he has been a solid runner. UTEP lost by 51 points to the same Oklahoma team that Michigan beat, but they did blow out a FCS opponent last week. I don’t love this spread, but I will back Michigan at home, as I don’t think UTEP will score more than a touchdown.

David Racey's Pick: Michigan -34.5

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