Troy vs Southern Mississippi Prediction 11/29/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Troy Trojans and the Southern Miss Golden Eagles meet in week 14 college football action from M.M. Roberts Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Troy Trojans vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles prediction.

Troy Trojans Recap

The Troy Trojans come into this game looking to add on to their 31-19 win over Georgia State last time out to sit at 7-4 this season. 

Trojans Snap Two-Game Slide

Tucker Kilcrease has thrown for 1,414 yards, 9 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 60.3% passing while Goose Crowder has thrown for 833 yards, 8 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 59.8% passing. Tae Meadows leads Troy with 591 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns while Tray Taylor has a team-high 459 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. DJ Epps has 390 receiving yards with 5 TDs while RaRa Thomas has 377 receiving yards with 3 TDs and Ethan Conner has 362 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. Two more Trojans have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Jordan Stringer has a team-high 97 total tackles while Devin Lafayette has 92 total tackles and Donnie Smith has 7 sacks. Jah-Mal Williams also has 4 sacks as well on the year. As a unit, Troy’s defense has combined for 26 sacks and 8 interceptions so far this season.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Recap

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles come into this game looking to shake off a 42-35 loss at the hands of South Alabama last time out to sit at 7-4 this season.

Golden Eagles Win Back-To-Back Games

Braylon Braxton has thrown for 2,587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 66% passing while Jeffery Pittman has 589 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns on the ground to lead Southern Miss. Matt Jones also has 306 rushing yards with 4 TDs while Robert Briggs has 238 rushing yards as well on the year. Elijah Metcalf leads Southern Miss in receiving with 46 grabs for 615 yards, while Tychaun Chapman has 393 receiving yards with 2 TDs and Micah Davis has 393 receiving yards with a team-high 5 touchdowns. Carl Chester has 456 receiving yards with 5 touchdowns, while three more receivers for Southern Miss have 150+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Chris Jones has a team-high 117 total tackles along with 3.5 sacks while Ian Foster has 3 interceptions and Michael Montgomery has a pair of INTs. Josh Moten has a team-high 5 interceptions while J’Mond Tapp has a team-high 6.5 sacks. As a unit, Southern Miss’ defense has combined for 24 sacks and 20 interceptions so far this season.

Troy Trojans @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Trends: Week 14

Why the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will win

• Southern Miss has won four of its last five home games.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of the last four games between Troy and Southern Miss.
• Troy has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six November games as a road underdog.
• Troy has lost the first half in six of its last seven road games against conference opponents.

Why the Troy Trojans will win

• Southern Miss has lost 12 of its last 13 games against teams from Alabama.
• Troy has won three of its last four games as an underdog.
• Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games in November.
• Troy has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against teams from Mississippi.
• Southern Miss has lost the first half in six of its last eight home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Four of Southern Miss’ last five home games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of Troy’s last five games as an underdog against teams from Mississippi have gone OVER the total points line.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 14, Braylon Braxton has recorded the equal-longest passing touchdown in a single game this season (98 yards vs Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns, Week 8).

Troy Trojans Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 14, Evan Crenshaw ranks 10th amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (47.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Southern Miss ranks T1st among FBS teams for interceptions this season (20).
• Southern Miss ranks 126th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (27:40).
• Troy ranks 12th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+4.9).
• Troy ranks T124th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (3.5).

Troy Trojans vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles Prediction

I’m on Southern Miss. I get the case to be made for Troy in this game, with it basically being win and you’re in the Sun Belt title game for both teams. That being said, I feel that Southern Miss is the more talented team here, and the Golden Eagles just have more ways to hurt the Trojans than Troy does Southern Miss. Should be a great game, but I think the Golden Eagles have too much here. Give me Southern Miss for the win and cover.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Southern Miss -6.5