Oklahoma State vs UCF Prediction 11/22/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Oklahoma State vs UCF Prediction for this College Football Week 13 game on Saturday, November 22nd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

UCF Knights Preview

UCF has a 4-6 record this season and is sitting 14th in the Big 12. They are 4-6 ATS, 5-5 in Over/Under and have a 4-2 home record and a 0-4 away record. UCF is coming off a 48-9 road loss against Texas Tech and will face BYU and Cincinnati next.

Offensively, UCF averages 25.4 points per game, ranking 81st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 22.8 points per game, which is 52nd. UCF averages 385.3 total yards per game (212.4 passing and 172.9 rushing), while allowing 339.4 total yards per game (158.6 rushing and 180.8 passing).

Tayven Jackson leads UCF with 1,648 passing yards with 64.4% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. Myles Montgomery leads the team in rushing yards with 595, while Duane Thomas Jr. has a team-high 46 receptions for 441 receiving yards. Defensively, Lewis Carter has a team-high 75 total tackles (41 of them solo), while Malachi Lawrence leads the team in sacks, with 7, and Phillip Dunnam has a team-high 3 interceptions.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Preview

Oklahoma State has a 1-9 record this season and is sitting 16th in the Big 12. They are 3-7 ATS, 5-5 in Over/Under and have a 1-5 home record and a 0-4 away record. Oklahoma State is coming off a 14-6 home loss against Kansas State and will face Iowa State and Texas Tech next.

Offensively, Oklahoma State averages 14.3 points per game, ranking 134th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 36.3 points per game, which is 131st. Oklahoma State averages 305.2 total yards per game (176.3 passing and 128.9 rushing), while allowing 427.8 total yards per game (163.3 rushing and 264.5 passing).

Zane Flores leads Oklahoma State with 1,164 passing yards with 60.3% completed passes and 2 touchdowns. Rodney Fields Jr. leads the team in rushing yards with 527, while Gavin Freeman has a team-high 41 receptions for 395 receiving yards. Defensively, Bryan McCoy has a team-high 63 total tackles (30 of them solo), while Wendell Gregory leads the team in sacks, with 3, and Parker Robertson, Kale Smith, LaDainian Fields have a team-high 2 interceptions each.

Oklahoma State Cowboys @ UCF Knights Betting Trends: Week 13

Why the UCF Knights will win

• Oklahoma State has lost each of its last 17 games against conference opponents.
• The favorite has won 15 of Oklahoma State’s last 16 games.
• Oklahoma State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven road games.
• The favorite has covered the spread in four of UCF’s last five games at Acrisure Bounce House.
• UCF has won the first quarter in four of its last five home games against conference opponents.
• Oklahoma State has lost the first half in each of its last 11 games against conference opponents.

Why the Oklahoma State Cowboys will win

• UCF has lost each of its last six games in November.
• UCF has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games in November.

Total Points Facts

• Each of UCF’s last five games against teams from Oklahoma have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Ten of Oklahoma State’s last 12 road games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.

UCF Knights Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Jaden Nixon ranks 14th amongst FBS players for kick return yards (419) this season.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Wes Pahl ranks 1st in the Big 12 Conference amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (46.3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• UCF ranks T123rd among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (32.6).
• UCF ranks T15th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (3.9).
• Oklahoma State ranks 136th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-7.9).
• Oklahoma State has lost the second quarter in each of its last nine games – longest active streak in the FBS.

Oklahoma State vs UCF Prediction

In this Oklahoma State vs UCF Prediction, UCF is coming as -14-point home favorites, with the total set at 48.5 points. Oklahoma State has been terrible this season, having won only once in their ten games played and are also 3-7 against the spread. UCF has been on a free fall lately, with a 1-6 record in its last 7 games so I don’t see value on either side. Both teams have been involved in some high-scoring games lately, going for 6-3 to the over in their last 9 games, mainly due to their terrible defenses, so take the over 48.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 48.5