North Texas vs Florida Atlantic Prediction College Football Picks 10/12/24

The North Texas Mean Green and the Florida Atlantic Owls meet Saturday in college football action from FAU Stadium. Here’s a North Texas vs FAU prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best North Texas vs FAU pick. We will examine:

The North Texas Mean Green’s recent form and player performance

The Florida Atlantic Owls’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the North Texas Mean Green

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Florida Atlantic Owls

Recent betting trends in games played between North Texas and FAU

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the North Texas vs FAU game

North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview

North Texas kicked off the year with a couple of victories. The Mean Green beat South Alabama 52-38, then took out Stephen F. Austin 35-20. Game three was a loss 66-21 versus Texas Tech, but North Texas came back to beat Wyoming handily 44-17 the next week.

In game five versus Tulsa, North Texas secured another big win. The Green scored 24 points in the second quarter alone on the way to a 52-20 blowout. QB Chandler Morris finished with 439 yards and five scores. Blair Conwright caught two balls for 115 yards and a TD.

Florida Atlantic Owls Betting Preview

Over on the FAU side, they started out with a pair of losses to Michigan State 16-10 and Army 24-7. The Owls would beat FIU 38-20 for their first win on September 14, then lost another one to UConn 48-14 in game four.

Back on September 28 versus Wagner, the Owls didn’t have a lot of issues. Florida Atlantic scored double-digit points in three of four quarters for a 41-10 win. Cam Fancher threw for 150 yards and an interception. CJ Campbell led the rushing attack with 129 yards and two scores.

Why the Florida Atlantic Owls will win

• Florida Atlantic has won seven of its last eight October games at FAU Stadium.
• North Texas has lost three of its last four road games in October.
• Florida Atlantic has covered the spread in three of its last four games against North Texas.

Why the North Texas Mean Green will win

• North Texas has won 18 of its last 19 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Florida Atlantic has lost each of its last four home games against conference opponents.
• North Texas has covered the spread in each of its last nine October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Florida Atlantic has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Ten of Florida Atlantic’s last 11 games against conference opponents at FAU Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of North Texas’ last four October road games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Florida Atlantic ranks 121st among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (162.8).
• Florida Atlantic ranks T115th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (4.2).
• North Texas ranks 4th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (348.6).
• North Texas ranks T5th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (22.2).

North Texas vs FAU Prediction

I’ll stay in North Texas. The Mean Green drilled Tulsa in their last outing, notching 618 total yards (439 passing) and 10.3 yards per play. There’s plenty to clean up, however, as North Texas went just 3-of-10 on third-down tries and had a whopping 14 penalties for 130 yards.

As for FAU, they gained 572 yards (315 rushing), 8.1 yards per play, and 29 first downs in their latest win versus an overmatched Wagner squad. The Owls coughed up three turnovers and had 12 penalties (90 yards) though, so their latest effort was also far from perfect. All things considered, this one should be a fun matchup but North Texas should have it if their passing game sticks around.

Andrew Jett's Pick: North Texas Mean Green -6.5