New Mexico vs Oklahoma Prediction 9/19/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a New Mexico vs Oklahoma prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 19th at Memorial Stadium in Norman, Oklahoma. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 3 matchup. 

New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview

The New Mexico Lobos are 2-0 this season after they defeated Mercyhurst by a score of 70-7 in week two. New Mexico led 49-7 at halftime and they won the second half 21-0 for the blowout victory. The Lobos out gained Mercyhurst by a total of 460-155, went 5-13 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 6-0 in the game. Toa Fa’avae threw for 91 yards and two touchdowns, while Troy Omeire caught two passes for 70 yards and one score. Scottre Humphrey rushed 15 times for 110 yards and two touchdowns in the win. 

Prior to that game, New Mexico defeated Central Michigan by a score of 38-7 in week one. The Lobos have scored 54.0 points per game with 166.0 passing yards and 246.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 7.0 points against per game this season. Luke Moga has thrown for 198 yards, three touchdowns, and zero interceptions, while Cade Keith has five catches for 91 yards and one score. Scottre Humphrey has rushed 28 times for 174 yards and three touchdowns this season. 

Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview

The Oklahoma Sooners are 1-1 this year after they lost to Michigan by a score of 17-10 last week. Oklahoma trailed 10-0 at halftime, but they tied the game 10-10 in the fourth, before allowing a score with about eight minutes left for the loss. The Sooners out gained Michigan by a total of 289-263, went 3-13 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. John Mateer threw for 189 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Rocky Beers caught six passes for 94 yards. Mateer also led the ground game with 45 yards on 13 carries. 

Prior to that loss, Oklahoma defeated UTEP by a score of 51-0 in week one. The Sooners have scored 30.5 points per game with 210.0 passing yards and 135.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 8.5 points against per game this season. John Mateer has thrown for 414 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception, while Lloyd Avant has rushed 24 times for 114 yards and one score this year. 

Why the Oklahoma Sooners will win

• Oklahoma has won each of its last 13 home games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
• New Mexico has lost each of its last 10 road openers as an underdog.
• Oklahoma has covered the spread in each of its last four September games as a home favorite.
• New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five September games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
• New Mexico has lost the first half in 12 of its last 16 September games as a road underdog.

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

• New Mexico has won eight of its last nine games.
• New Mexico has covered the spread in five of its last six games in September.
• Oklahoma has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as a favorite.

Total Points Facts

• Each of New Mexico’s last four games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of Oklahoma’s last seven games against non-conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Oklahoma Sooners Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 3, Lloyd Avant ranks T1st in the Southeastern Conference amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

New Mexico Lobos Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 3, Scottre Humphrey ranks T11th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Oklahoma ranks 3rd among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (98.5).
• Oklahoma ranks T132nd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (3.0).
• New Mexico ranks T1st among FBS teams for interceptions this season (5).
• New Mexico ranks 1st among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+27.5).

New Mexico vs Oklahoma Prediction 

Oklahoma comes into this matchup after a disappointing offensive effort against Michigan, but they will be back at home. The Sooners have played great defense through two games and they scored 51 points against UTEP in their opener. New Mexico is 2-0 and they have allowed a total of 14 points, but they have played a very easy schedule so far. The Lobos have some issues at quarterback and I don’t see them scoring much here. Take Oklahoma to cover in this one.

David Racey's Pick: Oklahoma -21.5