Mississippi State vs Georgia Prediction College Football Picks 10/12/24

In this article, we will formulate a Mississippi State vs Georgia prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 12th at Sanford Stadium in Athens, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 7 matchup. 

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 1-4 (0-2) this year after they lost to Texas by a score of 35-13 in their last game. Mississippi State only trailed 14-6 at halftime but allowed the first two touchdowns in the second half in the loss. The Bulldogs were outgained by a total of 522-294, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 8-17 on third down in the game. Michael Van Buren Jr. threw for 144 yards on 12 completions, while Kevin Coleman Jr. caught six passes for 57 yards. 

Mississippi State won their season opener by a score of 56-7 against Eastern Kentucky, but they did lose the next three games against Arizona State, Toledo, and Florida. The MSU offense has scored 27.4 points per game with 243.6 passing yards and 136.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 31.6 points per game this season. The Bulldogs have gone 45.8% on third down and 7-13 on fourth down through five games. Michael Van Buren Jr. has completed 52.8% of his passes for 244 yards after taking over for an injured Blake Shapen, while Johnnie Daniels has rushed for 233 yards and one score. 

Georgia Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Georgia Bulldogs are 4-1 (2-1) this season after they defeated Auburn by a score of 31-13 last week. Georgia led 14-3 at the half, but saw their lead cut to 14-10, before pulling away in the second half. The Bulldogs outgained Auburn by a total of 381-337, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 7-13 on third down in the game. Carson Beck threw for 240 yards and two touchdowns, while Trevor Etienne rushed for 88 yards and two scores. 

Georgia opened the season with three wins over Clemson, Tennessee Tech, and Kentucky, but did lose their fourth game against Alabama by a score of 41-34. The UGA offense has scored 32.4 points per game with 289.8 passing yards and 131.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 14.4 points per game this season. The Bulldogs have gone 37.7% on third down and 8-9 on fourth down through five games. Carson Beck has completed 65.8% of his passes for 1,359 yards, 12 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Trevor Etienne has rushed for 300 yards and three scores. 

Why Mississippi State will cover

• Georgia has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
• Mississippi State has covered the spread in three of its last four road games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Mississippi State’s last eight games against top-5 AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of Georgia’s last six home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Georgia ranks 9th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (2.4).
• Georgia ranks 11th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (10.6).
• Mississippi State ranks 122nd among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (437.8).
• Mississippi State ranks 121st among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (213.0).

Mississippi State vs Georgia Prediction 

Georgia comes into this game as a massive favorite to get the win, but they have had some struggles over their last three games. Georgia only scored 13 points in their one-point win over Kentucky, lost to Alabama, and didn’t look sharp in their last game against Auburn, so they will try to play a complete game against an opponent they should have no issue with. Mississippi State has lost four games in a row, but they did play decently well against Texas in their last game and they are coming off of a bye week. Georgia is the way better team in this matchup, but they have a date with Texas coming next week, so I think they are going to really coast in the second half. Take Mississippi State and the points. 

David Racey's Pick: Mississippi State +34