Middle Tennessee vs Memphis Prediction College Football Picks 9/28/24

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and Memphis Tigers meet Saturday in week 5 college football action at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. Here’s a Middle Tennessee vs Memphis Prediction. This article will include a Middle Tennessee vs Memphis Pick.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Preview

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost to Western Kentucky and Duke, and they play Louisiana Tech next. Middle Tennessee has won 4 of its last 5 home games. Nicholas Vattiato is completing 65.2 percent of his passes for 1,002 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Omari Kelly and Holden Willis have combined for 555 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Myles Butler has 10 receptions.

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders ground game is averaging 93 yards per contest, and Jaiden Credle leads the way with 194 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Middle Tennessee is allowing 42.8 points and 491.8 yards per game. John Howse IV leads the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders with 23 tackles, James Gillespie has 2 sacks and James Shellman IV has 2 pass deflections.

Memphis Tigers Betting Preview

The Memphis Tigers beat Florida State, lost to Navy, and they play South Florida next. Memphis has won 6 of its last 8 home games. Seth Henigan is completing 64.3 percent of his passes for 1,112 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Roc Taylor and Koby Drake have combined for 451 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Demeer Blankumsee has 13 receptions.

The Memphis Tigers ground game is averaging 152.3 yards per contest, and Mario Anderson leads the way with 320 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Memphis is allowing 21.3 points and 310 yards per game. Chandler Martin leads the Memphis Tigers with 29 tackles, Elijah Herring has 2 sacks and Matt Hudson has 1 interception.

Why the Memphis Tigers will win

• Memphis has won 23 of its last 24 September games at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium.
• Middle Tennessee has lost each of its last eight games as an underdog.
• Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games in September.
• Memphis has covered the spread in each of its last four games at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Middle Tennessee’s last four September games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of Memphis’ last six September games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Memphis ranks 27th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (93).
• Memphis ranks 30th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (281.5).
• Middle Tennessee ranks 132nd among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (102).
• Middle Tennessee ranks T131st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (11.0).

Middle Tennessee vs Memphis Prediction

Through 4 games, you could argue the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are the worst team in college football. To make matters worse, Middle Tennessee is 0-4 ATS on the season and 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games as a double-digit underdog. The Memphis Tigers will be eager to rebound from a rough loss to Navy and has the offensive horses to give a bad MTSU team hell defensively. Massive number, but I want nothing to do with the Blue Raiders. Give me Memphis in a route at home.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Memphis -25.5