Pick details
| MATCHUP | Fresno State Bulldogs | San José State Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Spread | -6.5 -112 | +6.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | -225 | +185 |
| Total | Over 50.5 (-105) | Under 50.5 (-115) |
| Where | CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, CA | |
| When | Saturday, September 19, 2026 | |
| Time | 11:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | FS1 | |
Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Fresno State Bulldogs lost to USC, beat Sacramento State, and they play Rice next. The Fresno State Bulldogs have won 10 of their last 14 games. Jayden Mandal is completing 73.2 percent of his passes for 393 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Ezekiel Avit and Josiah Freeman have combined for 209 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Jahlil McClain has 6 receptions.
The Fresno State Bulldogs’ ground game is averaging 116 yards per contest, and Bryson Donelson leads the way with 117 yards and 3 touchdowns. On defense, Fresno State allows 21 points and 407 yards per game. Martin Owusu leads the Fresno State Bulldogs with 13 tackles, Andre Cobb has 1 sack, and Simeon Harris has 1 interception.
San Jose State Spartans Betting Preview
The San Jose State Spartans beat Eastern Michigan and Cal Poly, and play Hawaii next. San Jose State has lost 7 of its last 10 games. Luke Weaver is completing 62.9 percent of his passes for 788 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Cooper Hoch and Carson Clark have combined for 429 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jerry McClure has 12 receptions.
The San Jose State Spartans ground game is averaging 164.7 yards per contest, and Jabari Bates leads the way with 319 yards on 58 carries. On defense, San Jose State allows 27.7 points and 375.3 yards per game. Jordan Pollard leads the San Jose State Spartans with 56 tackles, Vili Taufatofua has 4 sacks, and Jalen Bainer has 3 interceptions.
Why the San Jose State Spartans will win
- San Jose State has won six of its last seven home games against teams from California.
- San Jose State has covered the spread in each of its last four September games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 12 road games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win
- Fresno State has won each of its last 10 September games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- San Jose State has lost each of its last nine games as an underdog against teams from California.
- The favorite has covered the spread in each of Fresno State’s last four games.
- San Jose State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven September games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- San Jose State has lost the first half in each of its last six games as a home underdog against teams from California.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Fresno State’s last four September games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of San Jose State’s last five games as an underdog against Fresno State have gone UNDER the total points line.
San Jose State Spartans Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 3, Jabari Bates has the most rushing yards without a rushing touchdown this season (319).
Fresno State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 3, Bryson Donelson ranks T1st in the Pac-12 Conference for rushing touchdowns (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- San Jose State ranks T5th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (4).
- San Jose State ranks 7th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (14.3).
- Fresno State ranks 127th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (281.0).
- Fresno State ranks 123rd among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (26:11).
Fresno State vs San José State Prediction
Fresno State has a talent edge and should be favored, but I was high on San Jose State entering the season, and that doesn’t change now. In fact, I’m probably even higher on San Jose State given it was far more competitive in its game against USC than Fresno State was. San Jose State is solid defensively and is getting strong play out of its quarterback. Fresno State is having issues running the ball, and its secondary is getting carved up. I have the Bulldogs on upset alert in week 3. Give me the points with San Jose State.
