Cincinnati vs UCF Prediction College Football Picks 10/12/24

Pick details

UCF (3-2) vs Cincinnati (3-2)

Game Info: Saturday, October 12, 2024 at 3:30 pm (FBC Mortgage Stadium)

The Line: Betting Odds: UCF -3 / Cincinnati +3 — Over/Under: 59.5

(Get latest betting odds)


The Cincinnati Bearcats and UCF Knights meet Saturday in week 7 college football action at FBC Mortgage Stadium. Here’s a Cincinnati vs UCF Prediction. This article will include a Cincinnati vs UCF Pick.

Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Bearcats beat Houston, lost to Texas Tech, and they play Arizona State next. The Cincinnati Bearcats have lost 4 of their last 6 road games. Brendan Sorsby is completing 66.3 percent of his passes for 1,481 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Xzavier Henderson and Joe Royer have combined for 716 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Jamoi Mayes has 12 receptions.

The Cincinnati Bearcats ground game is averaging 183.8 yards per contest, and Corey Kiner leads the way with 413 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 21.6 points and 406.2 yards per game. Jared Bartlett leads the Cincinnati Bearcats with 24 tackles, Eric Phillips has 4 sacks and Josh Minkins has 2 interceptions.

UCF Knights Betting Preview

The UCF Knights lost to Colorado and Florida, and they play Iowa State next. UCF has won 4 of its last 6 home games. KJ Jefferson is completing 59.3 percent of his passes for 1,012 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Kobe Hudson and RJ Harvey have combined for 527 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Randy Pittman Jr. has 12 receptions.

The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 282.4 yards per contest, and Harvey leads the way with 600 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, UCF is allowing 24.6 points and 337 yards per game. Deshawn Pace leads the UCF Knights with 27 tackles, Nyjalik Kelly has 2 sacks and Mac McWilliams has 1 interception.

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

  • UCF has lost three of its last four October games as a favorite.
  • Cincinnati has won 47 of its last 59 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • UCF has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Fifteen of Cincinnati’s last 17 road games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of UCF’s last five games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • UCF ranks 11th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (489.2).
  • UCF ranks 14th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (90.0).
  • Cincinnati ranks 15th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (301.2).
  • Cincinnati ranks 22nd among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (20.6).

Cincinnati vs UCF Prediction

The Cincinnati Bearcats aren’t great defensively, but they have the horses offensively to give UCF a scare. Also, UCF has looked horrible at both ends of the field in its last two games. UCF can’t tackle defensively, and the offense is limited due to KJ Jefferson’s struggles in throwing the ball. Last week, it looked like UCF was more concerned about running the clock out than making a comeback. No sense of urgency. I want nothing to do with UCF right now. Give me Cincinnati and the free field goal.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Cincinnati +3

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