Bowling Green vs Toledo Prediction College Football Picks 10/26/24

Pick details

Toledo (5-2) vs Bowling Green (3-4)

October 26, 2024 at 03:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Toledo -2.5 / Bowling Green +2.5 — Over/Under: 47

(Get latest betting odds)

The Bowling Green Falcons and the Toledo Rockets meet in week 9 college football action from Huskie Stadium on Saturday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Bowling Green vs. Toledo prediction.

Bowling Green Recap

The Bowling Green Falcons come into this one looking to build on a 27-6 win over Kent State last time out. After this game, Bowling Green will head on the road for a game against Central Michigan.

Falcons Trying To Get Back To .500

Connor Bazelak has thrown for 1,644 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 69.6% passing while Terion Stewart has a team-high 458 rushing yards with 4 TDs and Jaison Patterson has 248 rushing yards with 3 TDs on the year. Harold Fannin Jr. has a team-high 60 receptions for 873 yards and 5 TDs while Malcolm Johnson Jr. has 26 receptions for 290 yards. Two more Falcons have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Joseph Sipp Jr. and Brock Horne each have a team-high 42 total tackles with Sipp Jr. logging 4 sacks while Charles Rosser has a team-high 4.5 sacks. As a unit, Bowling Green has combined for 19 sacks and 4 interceptions on the year.

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

  • The underdog has won four of Toledo’s last five games.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in each of Bowling Green’s last six games.
  • Toledo has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Toledo Recap

The Toledo Rockets come into this one looking to build on a 13-6 win over Northern Illinois last time out to improve to 5-2 on the year. After this game, Toledo will head to EMU to take on the Eagles.

Rockets Looking To Keep Momentum Going

Tucker Gleason has thrown for 1,325 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 61.6% passing while John Alan Richter has thrown for 456 yards and 4 TDs on 64.9% passing. Connor Walendzak has 267 rushing yards to lead the Rockets, while Jerjuan Newton has a team-high 581 receiving yards coming on 34 receptions with 8 touchdowns. Junior Vandeross III has a team-high 41 grabs for 462 yards and 3 TDs and three more Rockets have 100+ receiving yards on the year. Maxen Hook leads the Rockets with 63 total tackles including 39 solo tackles while Braden Awls has a team-high 3 interceptions. As a unit, Toledo has combined for 16 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Toledo Rockets will win

  • Toledo has won each of its last nine games at Glass Bowl.
  • Toledo has covered the spread in eight of its last nine October home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Bowling Green has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.

Bowling Green vs. Toledo Prediction

I’m with Toledo here. I know the MAC is in flux this season as almost everyone coming into this week is either 4-3 or 3-4 overall and the race is as tight as one could be and maybe as we’ve ever seen. However, Bowling Green has played a lot of top teams tough, but still lost, and even though they’re close losses, we’re not being asked to lay much with Toledo here. As long as Toledo cuts down the turnovers, I think that Toledo can get the win here as I just feel that they’re the better team. Give me Toledo.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Toledo -2.5

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