Boston College vs Pittsburgh Prediction 10/4/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a Boston College vs Pittsburgh prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 4th at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 6 matchup. 

Boston College Eagles Betting Preview

The Boston College Eagles are 1-3 (0-2) this year after they lost to California by a score of 28-24 in their last game. Boston College led 14-7 after the first quarter and 17-14 at halftime, but they allowed 14 points in the fourth quarter for the loss. The Eagles tied the yardage battle at 375, went 4-11 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a margin of 2-1 in the game. Dylan Lonergan went 21-37 for 197 yards and two interceptions, while Turbo Richard rushed 15 times for 171 yards and two scores. Lewis Bond led the receivers with seven catches for 77 yards in the game. The BC defense recorded zero sacks and three tackles for loss in the defeat. 

In their first three games, Boston College defeated Fordham, lost to Michigan State, and lost to Stanford. The Eagles are averaging 37.5 points per game with 344.5 passing yards and 99.5 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 27.5 points against per game this season. Dylan Lonergan has completed 69.4% of his passes for 1,188 yards, nine touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Lewis Bond has caught 36 passes for 352 yards. Turbo Richard is the leading rusher for BC with 329 yards and four scores on 58 carries this year. 

Pittsburgh Panthers Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Panthers are 2-2 (0-1) this season after they lost to Louisville by a score of 34-27 last week. Pittsburgh led 17-0 after the first quarter and 27-17 at halftime, but they were shutout in the second half in the tough loss. The Panthers were out gained by a total of 393-339, went 1-10 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 5-1 in the game. Eli Holstein went 14-26 for 228 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Ja’Kyrian Turner carried the ball six times for 36 yards. Cataurus Hicks led the receivers with four catches for 113 yards and one touchdown in the game. The Pitt defense recorded two sacks and 10 tackles for loss in the defeat. 

In their first three games, Pittsburgh defeated Duquesne and Central Michigan, but lost to West Virginia in overtime. The Panthers are averaging 40.8 points per game with 301.0 passing yards and 102.0 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 22.8 points against per game this season. Eli Holstein has completed 63.2% of his passes for 1,050 yards, 11 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Raphael Williams Jr has caught 16 passes for 302 yards and four scores. Desmond Reid has led the ground game for Pitt with 24 carries for 142 yards and one touchdown this season. 

Why Pittsburgh will beat Boston College

Pittsburgh has won each of its last four October games at Acrisure Stadium.
Boston College has lost 12 of its last 14 road games in October.
The favorite has covered the spread in each of Pittsburgh’s last three games at Acrisure Stadium.
Boston College has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four road games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

Each of Pittsburgh’s last four October games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
Five of Boston College’s last six games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Pittsburgh is one of six FBS teams to hold each of its opponents scoreless in the first quarter this season.
Pittsburgh ranks 7th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (76.0).
Boston College ranks T18th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (75.0).
Boston College ranks T21st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (33.3).

Boston College vs Pittsburgh Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup looking for their first conference win of the season, but Pittsburgh will have the home field advantage. The Panthers have lost two games in a row and they need more consistent play from Holstein at quarterback. Boston College has lost three games in a row, including two straight against Stanford and California. The Eagles are really struggling right now and have yet to beat a FBS team this year. I don’t love how Pittsburgh’s defense is playing this year, but I am staying away from this BC squad. Take Pitt at home in this game. 

David Racey is 48-36 (57%) in College Football this season and is #1 on the leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for the week!