Arizona State vs Cincinnati Prediction College Football Picks 10/19/24

Pick details

Cincinnati (4-2) vs Arizona State (5-1)

October 19, 2024 at 12:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati -2.5 / Arizona State +2.5 — Over/Under: 53.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona State Sun Devils and the Cincinnati Bearcats meet Saturday in college football action from Nippert Stadium. Here’s an Arizona State vs Cincinnati prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Arizona State vs Cincinnati pick. We will examine:

The Arizona State Sun Devils recent form and player performance

The Cincinnati Bearcats recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona State Sun Devils

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Bearcats

Recent betting trends in games played between Arizona State and Cincinnati

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Arizona State vs Cincinnati game

Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview

The Sun Devils kicked off their year with a trio of victories over Wyoming, Mississippi State and Texas State. Arizona State would take their first loss in game four versus Texas Tech 30-22, but then came back with a win over Kansas 35-31.

In the Utah matchup, the Sun Devils scored points in every quarter on the way to a 27-19 win. Sam Leavitt finished with 154 yards, one TD and a pick. Cameron Skattebo rushed 22 times for 158 yards and two scores, while Jordyn Tyson caught five balls for 84 yards and a TD.

Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview

Over on the Cincinnati side, they went 3-1 over their first four outings. The lone blemish was a 28-27 loss to Pittsburgh among wins over Towson 38-20, Miami-OH 27-16 and Houston 34-0. Game five was another loss, this time 44-41 versus Texas Tech.

In last Saturday’s game versus UCF, the Bearcats scored points in every quarter on the way to a tight win 19-13. Brendan Sorsby threw for 241 yards with a TD and two interceptions (with a rush score). Corey Kiner carried 17 times for 83 yards as the leading rusher.

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

  • Cincinnati has won 50 of its last 54 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Arizona State has lost four of its last five road games in October.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of Arizona State’s last three games.

Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win

  • Arizona State has won six of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Cincinnati has lost six of its last seven home games against conference opponents.
  • Cincinnati has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven October games as a favorite.
  • Arizona State has covered the spread in six of its last seven October games as an underdog.

Total Points Facts

  • Six of Cincinnati’s last seven October games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of Arizona State’s last five road games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Arizona State vs Cincinnati Prediction

I’m going with Arizona State. The Sun Devils posted an impressive effort against a good Utah team in their last outing. The offense notched 343 total yards (176 rushing) and 6.0 yards per play but only 15 first downs and 5-of-13 on third-down tries. The three interceptions from the defense really helped push Arizona State over the top, though.

As for Cincinnati, they had some ugly moments in their win over UCF last weekend (and benefitted from 10 Knights penalties) but everything worked out well. The Bearcats managed 338 total yards with 19 first downs and 33:44 in time of possession. So long as the Sun Devils don’t suffer a hangover this weekend though, I think Arizona State covers/wins in the end.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Arizona State Sun Devils +2.5

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