Akron vs Toledo Prediction 9/27/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Akron vs Toledo Prediction for this College Football Week 5 game on Saturday, September 27th at the Glass Bowl. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Toledo Preview

Toledo has a 2-2 record this season and are sitting on the 12th place of the Mid-American Conference. They are 3-1 ATS, 2-2 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and 0-2 away record. They rank 71st in the AP Power Rankings. The Rockets are coming off a 13-14 away loss to Western Michigan and are playing Akron, Bowling Green and Kent State next.

Offensively, the Rockets average 33.5 points per game, which ranks 55th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 14.8 points per game, which is 23rd. Toledo averages 418.5 total yards per game, with 204.3 rushing yards and 214.3 passing yards per game. They allow 246.3 total yards per game, with 101.3 rushing and 145.0 passing yards per game.

Tucker Gleason leads the Rockets with 688 passing yards and 58.6% completed passes. Deamonte Trayanum leads the team in rushing yards, with 401, while Junior Vandeross III has a team-high 22 caught passes for 258 receiving yards, and has four touchdowns.

Defensively, K’Von Sherman has a team-high 30 total tackles, 18 of them solo. Malachi Davis leads the Rockets in sacks, with 2, while Emmanuel McNeil-Warren has one interception.

Akron Preview

Akron has a 1-3 record this season and are sitting on the 7th place of the Mid-American Conference. They are 2-2 ATS, 3-1 in Over/Under and have a 1-1 home record and 0-2 away record. They rank 113th in the AP Power Rankings. The Zips are coming off a 51-7 home victory over Duquesne and are playing Toledo, Central Michigan and Miami (OH) next.

Offensively, the Zips average 19.8 points per game, which ranks 113th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 29.0 points per game, which is 105th. Akron averages 339.5 total yards per game, with 156.5 rushing yards and 183.0 passing yards per game. They allow 451.3 total yards per game, with 164.5 rushing and 286.8 passing yards per game.

Ben Finley leads the Zips with 694 passing yards and 47.0% completed passes. Jordan Gant leads the team in rushing yards, with 278, while Israel Polk has a team-high 9 caught passes for 163 receiving yards, and has two touchdowns.

Defensively, Shammond Cooper has a team-high 30 total tackles, 14 of them solo. Bruno Dall leads the Zips in sacks, with 3, while Alex Branch has one interception.

Akron Zips @ Toledo Rockets Betting Trends: Week 5

Toledo Rockets Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 5, Emmanuel McNeil-Warren leads the league for forced fumbles (3) this season.

Akron Zips Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 5, Jordan Gant leads the Mid-American Conference for yards per carry (7.3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Toledo ranks T3rd among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (0.8).
• Toledo ranks 7th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+13.8).
• Akron ranks T134th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (5.3).
• Akron ranks T132nd among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (26.8).

Akron vs Toledo Prediction

In their previous meeting last season, Akron won 24-21 at home in overtime. Toledo is 4-1 in their last 5 head-to-head meetings against Akron, and are 5-0 in their last 5 home meetings against Akron. Akron is 5-3 ATS in their last 8 meetings, and Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings. 

In this Akron vs Toledo Prediction, Toledo is coming as -21-point home favorites, with the total set at 48.5 points. Toledo is by far the better team, as they outscore their opponents by almost 20 points this season, while Akron has been losing by an average of almost 10 points. Toledo has also been dominating Akron historically, especially at home court, where they have won their last 5 matchups. Take Toledo and lay the -21 points at home in this one.