Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction College Football Picks 11/2/24

Tennessee (6-1) vs Kentucky (3-5)

Game Info: Saturday, November 2, 2024 at 7:45 pm (Neyland Stadium)

Betting Odds: Tennessee -16.5 / Kentucky +16.5 --- Over/Under: 45.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a Kentucky vs Tennessee prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 2nd at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tennessee. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 10 matchup. 

Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview

The Kentucky Wildcats are 3-5 (1-5) this year after they lost to Auburn by a score of 24-10 in their last game. Kentucky led 10-0 after the first quarter, but they were outscored 24-0 in the final three quarters for the loss. The Wildcats were outgained by a total of 498-224, lost the turnover battle 2-1, and went 4-12 on third down in the game. Brock Vandagriff threw for 120 yards and one interception, while Dane Key caught four passes for 87 yards in the game. 

Kentucky has also lost to Florida and Vanderbilt by scores of 48-20 and 20-13 during this three-game losing streak. The Kentucky offense has scored 19.4 points per game with 166.1 passing yards and 141.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 19.9 points per game this season. The Wildcats have gone 38.8% on third down and 6-16 on fourth down so far this season. Kentucky has not named a starting QB for this game, so we will either see Brock Vandagriff or Gavin Wimsatt under center. 

Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview

The Tennessee Volunteers are 6-1 (3-1) this season after they defeated Alabama by a score of 24-17 in their last game. Tennessee led 14-10 at halftime, but they trailed 17-14 in the fourth, before scoring the final 10 points for the win. The Volunteers outgained Alabama by a total of 408-314, lost the turnover battle 3-2, and went 6-14 on third down in the game. Nico Iamaleava threw for 194 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Dylan Sampson rushed for 139 yards and two scores. 

Tennessee defeated Florida by a score of 23-17 in the game prior to Alabama, but they lost to Arkansas before that. The Tennessee offense has scored 39.6 points per game with 232 passing yards and 241.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 11.6 points per game this season. The Volunteers have gone 44.4% on third down and 7-10 on fourth down through seven games. Nico Iamaleava has completed 63.5% of his passes for 1,413 yards, eight touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Dylan Sampson has rushed for 838 yards and 17 scores. 

Why Tennessee will cover

  • Tennessee has won 19 of its last 20 games at Neyland Stadium.
  • Kentucky has lost six of its last seven November games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Tennessee has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against Kentucky.
  • Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Tennessee's last five November games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of Kentucky's last six November road games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Tennessee ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (1.4).
  • Tennessee ranks 2nd among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (79.0).
  • Kentucky ranks 124th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (4.3).
  • Kentucky ranks 124th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (166.1).

Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction 

Tennessee comes into this game ranked seventh in the country and their lone loss came on the road against Arkansas. The Volunteers have a great record, but they have had two very close calls against Alabama and Florida in their last two games. Kentucky has lost three games in a row and just lost at home by 14 points against a below-average Auburn team. I don’t trust this Kentucky team at all and while I don’t love the Tennessee offense, I think their defense is very good. Take Tennessee at home. 

David’s Pick Tennessee -16.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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