Michigan State vs Michigan Prediction College Football Picks 10/26/24

Michigan (4-3) vs Michigan State (4-3)

Game Info: Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 7:30 pm (Michigan Stadium)

Betting Odds: Michigan -3.5 / Michigan State +3.5 --- Over/Under: 40.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: BTN Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

In this article, we will formulate a Michigan State vs Michigan prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 26th at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 9 matchup. 

Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview

The Michigan State Spartans are 4-3 (2-2) this year after they defeated Iowa by a score of 32-20 in their last game. Michigan State led 12-0 at halftime and 19-14 after three quarters, but they scored 13 points in the fourth quarter to put the game away. The Spartans outgained Iowa by a total of 468-283, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 5-13 on third down in the game. Aidan Chiles threw for 256 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Nick Marsh caught eight passes for 113 yards. 

Michigan State also has wins over FAU, Maryland, and Prairie View, but they do have losses against Boston College, Ohio State, and Oregon. The MSU offense has scored 21.6 points per game with 233.4 passing yards and 133.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 20.9 points per game this season. The Spartans have gone 40.7% on third down and 4-6 on fourth down so far this season. Aidan Chiles has completed 59.3% of his passes for 1,468 yards, six touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while Nick Marsh has caught 24 passes for 433 yards and one score. 

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

The Michigan Wolverines are 4-3 (2-2) this season after they lost to Illinois by a score of 21-7 in their last game. Michigan scored late in the first half to cut the deficit to 13-7, but they couldn’t find any more points in the game. The Wolverines outgained Illinois by a total of 322-267, lost the turnover battle 3-0, and went 5-14 on third down in the loss. Jack Tuttle threw for 208 yards and one interception, while Kalel Mullings rushed for 87 yards and one score. 

Michigan also has losses against Washington and Texas, but they have wins against Fresno State, Arkansas State, USC, and Minnesota. The Michigan offense has scored 21.1 points per game with 128.3 passing yards and 180.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.1 points per game this season. The Wolverines have gone 38.5% on third down and 10-12 on fourth down through seven games. The Michigan quarterback room is a mess right now, so it is anyone’s guess on who is going to start, but they are all pretty bad. 

Why Michigan State will cover

  • Michigan State has won three of its last five games as a road underdog against Michigan.
  • Michigan has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 11 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Michigan Stadium.
  • Michigan State has covered the spread in each of its last four road games.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of Michigan State's last 10 October games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of Michigan's last five games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Michigan ranks 9th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (92.1).
  • Michigan ranks T10th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.4).
  • Michigan State ranks 125th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (8.4).
  • Michigan State ranks 122nd among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (73.1).

Michigan State vs Michigan Prediction 

Michigan State comes into this matchup after picking up a great win against Iowa last week, and you can tell their program is headed in the right direction after the Mel Tucker disaster. The Spartans were able to snap their three-game losing streak and will now head into this big rivalry game with momentum. On the other side, Michigan has lost two games in a row and their quarterback situation is terrible. The Wolverines don’t have a quarterback that can consistently complete passes and their defense has struggled against the pass. I think this is a terrible matchup for Michigan, as this MSU team is going to sling the ball around and take advantage of a bad Michigan pass defense. Take the Spartans with the points here. 

David’s Pick Michigan State +3.5

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss