Kansas vs Kansas State Prediction College Football Picks 10/26/24

Kansas State (6-1) vs Kansas (2-5)

Game Info: Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 8:00 pm (Bill Snyder Family Stadium)

Betting Odds: Kansas State -10 / Kansas +10 --- Over/Under: 55.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a Kansas vs Kansas State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 26th at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kansas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 9 matchup. 

Kansas Jayhawks Betting Preview

The Kansas Jayhawks are 2-5 (1-3) this year after they defeated Houston by a score of 42-14 in their last game. Kansas led 28-14 at halftime and they pitched a second-half shutout for the win. The Jayhawks outgained Houston by a total of 470-335, won the turnover battle 4-0, and went 3-7 on third down in the game. Jalon Daniels threw for 247 yards and three touchdowns, while Devin Neal rushed for 108 yards and two scores. 

Kansas also has a win over Lindenwood this year, but they have losses against Illinois, UNLV, West Virginia, TCU, and Arizona State. The KU offense has scored 33 points per game with 194.7 passing yards and 214.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 24 points per game this season. The Jayhawks have gone 49.4% on third down and 7-10 on fourth down through seven games. Jalon Daniels has completed 56.6% of his passes for 1,312 yards, 10 touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Devin Neal has rushed for 692 yards and seven scores. 

Kansas State Wildcats Betting Preview

The Kansas State Wildcats are 6-1 (3-1) this season after they defeated West Virginia by a score of 45-18 in their last game. Kansas State led 17-10 at the half, but they scored the first 21 points in the second half to pull away with the win. The Wildcats outgained WVU by a total of 414-295, won the turnover battle 2-0, and went 7-12 on third down in the game. Avery Johnson threw for 298 yards and three touchdowns, while DJ Giddens rushed for 57 yards and two scores. 

Kansas State also has wins over UT-Martin, Tulane, Arizona, Oklahoma State, and Colorado, but they do have one loss against BYU this year. The KSU offense has scored 35 points per game with 205.3 passing yards and 222.9 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 20.6 points per game this season. The Wildcats have gone 41.4% on third down and 8-12 on fourth down so far this season. Avery Johnson has completed 62.4% of his passes for 1,401 yards, 14 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while DJ Giddens has rushed for 843 yards and four scores. 

Why Kansas State will cover

  • Kansas State has won nine of its last 10 October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Kansas has lost each of its last three road games.
  • Kansas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven road games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Kansas State has covered the spread in 10 of its last 11 home games in October.
  • Kansas has lost the first half in 38 of its last 50 games against conference opponents.

Why Kansas will cover

  • Kansas State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Kansas' last nine October games as a road underdog has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Four of Kansas State's last five October games at Bill Snyder Family Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Kansas State ranks 9th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (19.1).
  • Kansas State ranks 10th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (222.9).
  • Kansas ranks T127th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (75.0).
  • Kansas ranks T9th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (10).

Kansas vs Kansas State Prediction 

Kansas State comes into this game with just one loss on the season, and they are coming off of a great road performance against West Virginia last week. Kansas finally snapped their losing streak with a win over Houston in their last game, but their defense/tackling is going to be a big problem here. The Jayhawks have allowed at least 32 points in three of their last four games and will face a Kansas State offense that has scored 31+ in four of their last five. Take the over in this matchup. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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