Florida State vs Miami-FL Prediction College Football Picks 10/26/24

The Florida State Seminoles and the Miami Hurricanes meet Saturday in college football action from Hard Rock Stadium. Here’s a Florida State vs Miami prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Florida State vs Miami pick. We will examine:

The Florida State Seminoles’ recent form and player performance

The Miami Hurricanes’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Florida State Seminoles

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Hurricanes

Recent betting trends in games played between Florida State and Miami

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Florida State vs Miami game

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

The Seminoles came out of the gate on a rough run this year, losing to Georgia Tech, Boston College, and Memphis. Florida State would then beat California 14-9 before two more losses to SMU and Clemson.

Last Friday versus Duke, Florida State took another defeat. The Seminoles scored in every quarter but couldn’t keep pace in a 23-16 result. QB Brock Glenn finished with 110 yards and two picks. Kam Davis led the rush on 14 carries for 63 yards.

Miami Hurricanes Betting Preview

Over on the Miami side, they were able to rattle off a half-dozen wins in their first six games—with a couple of close escapes. The Hurricanes beat Florida, Florida A&M, Ball State, South Florida, Virginia Tech, and California in that time.

In Saturday’s game versus Louisville, the Hurricanes scored double-digit points in all four quarters during a dramatic shootout win 52-45. Cameron Ward logged 319 passing yards and four scores. Damien Martinez led the rush with 12 carries for 89 yards and a TD.

Why the Miami Hurricanes will win

• Miami (FL) has won each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Florida State has lost each of its last four October road games against AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of Florida State’s last three games at Hard Rock Stadium.
• Florida State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as an underdog.

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

• Miami (FL) has lost three of its last four October games as a home favorite.
• The road team has won three of Miami (FL)’s last four games.
• Miami (FL) has failed to cover the spread in 17 of its last 18 October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The road team has covered the spread in eight of the last 10 games between Florida State and Miami (FL).

Total Points Facts

• Nine of Miami (FL)’s last 10 games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Florida State’s last four games as an underdog against top-10 AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Miami (FL) ranks 1st among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (388.4).
• Miami (FL) ranks 1st among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (195).
• Florida State ranks 132nd among FBS teams for yards per game this season (276.0).
• Florida State ranks 131st among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (72.9).

Florida State vs Miami Prediction

I’ll stay with Miami. The Hurricanes were able to power out a win last weekend against a plucky Louisville team, thanks in part to 538 total yards (319 passing), 7.5 yards per play, and 27 first downs. Miami’s defense gave up 448 yards (342 passing) with 24 first downs on the other side but also held the Cardinals to 3-of-12 on third-down tries.

As for Florida State, they held the Blue Devils to just 180 yards (70 passing) and 3-of-17 on third-down tries in their latest game. The Seminoles coughed up four turnovers, nine penalties, and a 2-of-14 rate on third downs themselves though. FSU doesn’t stand much of a chance here if they’re not playing perfect football.