Florida Atlantic vs UTSA Prediction College Football Picks 10/19/24

UTSA Roadrunners Betting Preview

The UTSA Roadrunners are 2-4 (0-2) this year after they lost to Rice by a score of 29-27 in their last game. UTSA led 10-9 at the half and 27-23 in the fourth quarter, but they allowed the winning touchdown with four seconds left for the loss. The Roadrunners outgained Rice by a total of 394-389, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 8-18 on third down in the game. Owen McCown threw for 256 yards and three touchdowns, while also rushing for 53 yards on nine carries. 

UTSA also has losses against Texas State, Texas, and East Carolina, while picking up wins against Kennesaw State and Houston Christian. The UTSA offense has scored 22.8 points per game with 255.5 passing yards and 143.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 31.2 points per game this season. The Roadrunners have gone 35.6% on third down and 7-16 on fourth down so far this season. Owen McCown has completed 62.3% of his passes for 1,310 yards, 10 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Willie McCoy has caught 15 passes for 306 yards and two scores. 

Why UTSA will cover

• UTSA has won each of its last 18 games against conference opponents at Alamodome.
• Florida Atlantic has lost seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
• The favorite has covered the spread in eight of UTSA's last 10 games.
• Florida Atlantic has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four road games.

Why Florida Atlantic will cover

• UTSA has lost each of its last three games against conference opponents.
• Florida Atlantic has covered the spread in five of its last six October games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• UTSA has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of UTSA's last eight home games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Florida Atlantic's last five October games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• UTSA ranks T122nd among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (8.7).
• UTSA ranks T119th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (8.7).
• Florida Atlantic ranks 16th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (168.0).
• Florida Atlantic ranks T103rd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (4.0).

Florida Atlantic vs UTSA Betting Preview

UTSA comes into this matchup trying to beat an FBS team for the first time since the opening week, and they will have the home-field advantage here. FAU hasn’t been much better than UTSA, but they did battle a decent North Texas team last week. Both of these defenses have struggled this season and I expect both teams to fire up the offenses, so give me the over here.