Mississippi State vs Arizona State Prediction College Football Picks 9/7/24

Arizona State (1-0) vs Mississippi State (1-0)

Game Info: Saturday, September 7, 2024 at 10:30 pm (Mountain America Stadium)

Betting Odds: Arizona State -6.5 / Mississippi State +6.5 --- Over/Under: 55.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Mississippi State Bulldogs and Arizona State Sun Devils meet Saturday in week 2 college football action at Mountain America Stadium. Here’s a Mississippi State vs Arizona State Prediction. This article will include a Mississippi State vs Arizona State Pick.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs smoked Eastern Kentucky and play Toledo and Florida next. Mississippi State looks to start 2-0 for a fourth straight season. Blake Shapen is completing 75 percent of his passes for 247 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jordan Mosley and Kevin Coleman have combined for 192 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Mario Craver has 1 reception. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 203 yards per contest, and Shapen leads the way with 44 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing 7 points and 295 yards per game. Isaac Smith leads the Mississippi State Bulldogs with 11 tackles, Kalvin Dinkins has 1 sack and Elijah Cannon has 1 interception.

Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview

The Arizona State Sun Devils beat Wyoming opening week and play Texas State and Texas Tech next. Arizona State looks for its first 2-0 start since the 2021 season. Sam Leavitt is completing 63.6 percent of his passes for 258 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kyson Brown and Jordyn Tyson have combined for 122 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Jake Smith has 3 receptions. The Arizona State Sun Devils ground game is averaging 241 yards per contest, and Cam Skattebo leads the way with 49 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Arizona State is allowing 7 points and 118 yards per game. Keyshaun Elliott leads the Arizona State Sun Devils with 7 tackles, K'Vion Thunderbird has 1 sack and Zyrus Fiaseu has 1 interception.

Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win

  • The favorite has won each of Mississippi State's last six games.
  • Mississippi State has lost seven of its last eight games as an underdog.
  • Mississippi State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in four of Arizona State's last five games.

Total Points Facts

  • Ten of Arizona State's last 11 games against non-conference opponents at Mountain America Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of Mississippi State's last six September road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Arizona State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • Arizona State ranks T1st among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • Mississippi State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • Mississippi State ranks T1st among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (0.0).

Mississippi State vs Arizona State Prediction

The Arizona State Sun Devils are getting the benefit of the doubt because they're at home, but I don't think anybody was afraid to play in Tempe. The bottom line is, that both Mississippi State and Arizona State are likely going to be bottom feeders in their respective conferences, so I'm not sure if I want to lay a touchdown with either side. Mississippi State is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games when an underdog of 5 or more points, and that's concerning. Still, Arizona State isn't some world-beater, and that defense should get gashed against competent offenses. It's Miss State and the free touchdown or pass for me.

Randy’s Pick Mississippi State +6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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