Seattle Storm vs Connecticut Sun Prediction 5/10/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Seattle Storm and the Connecticut Sun meet Sunday in WNBA action from the Mohegan Sun Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Storm vs. Connecticut Sun prediction.

Matchup History

The Seattle Storm won the most recent meeting betwwn these two teams back on July 28th, 2025, by a final score of 101-85, making it 4 wins in the last five head-to-head meetings for the Storm in this matchup. 

Seattle Storm Recap

The Seattle Storm come into this game looking to bounce back from their 91-80 loss at the hands of the Golden State Valkyries last time out to sit at 0-1 this season. After this game, the Storm will head on the road for a game against the Toronto Tempo.

Storm Looking To Bounce Back

Dominique Malonga led the Storm with 21 points on 8 of 15 shooting with a team-high 8 rebounds while Zia Cooke added 15 points with 5 threes and 7 rebounds. Jade Melbourne chipped in 13 points on 4 of 5 shooting with a pair of threes and 3 assists and Flau’jae Johnson added 12 points with 3 threes to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Storm in the losing effort.

Connecticut Sun Recap

The Connecticut Sun come into this game looking to rebound from a 106-75 blowout loss at the hands of the New York Liberty last time out to start the year at 0-1. After this game, the Sun will head home for a game against the Las Vegas Aces.

Sun Looking To Defend Home Court

Diamond Miller led the Sun with 16 points on 6 of 16 shooting with 3 rebounds while Aneesah Morrow added 15 points on 7 of 15 shoting with 6 rebounds and Brittney Griner chipped in 13 points on 6 of 11 shooting with 6 rebounds to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for the Sun in the loss. Hailey Van Lith added 9 points with 4 assist and Saniya Rivers added 5 points with a team-high 6 assists in the loss. 

Seattle Storm @ Connecticut Sun Betting Trends: May 10, 2026

Why the Connecticut Sun will win

• The Sun have won each of their last six games against Storm teams that held a losing record.
• The Storm have lost each of their last four road openers.
• The Storm have failed to cover the spread in 14 of their last 16 games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the Sun’s last eight games.

Why the Seattle Storm will win

• The Storm have won four of their last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Sun have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The Storm have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Sun have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Storm’s last six games against the Sun following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Sun’s last eight day games have gone OVER the total points line.

Connecticut Sun Player Facts

• Aneesah Morrow ranked 1st amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (13.1) last season.
• Saniya Rivers ranked 1st amongst qualified Guards for steals + blocks per game (2.4) last season.

Seattle Storm Player Facts

• Dominique Malonga recorded 2+ steals + blocks in each of her last 13 games – longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Natisha Hiedeman ranked 10th amongst qualified players for effective field goal percentage (56.7%) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Connecticut Sun ranked 1st for opponent field goal attempts per game last season (65.4).
• The Connecticut Sun suffered the largest comeback loss after HT last season – led by -19 points vs Indiana Fever on August 17.
• The Seattle Storm ranked 1st for steals per game last season (8.5).
• The Seattle Storm ranked 1st for blocks per game last season (5.1).

Seattle Storm vs. Connecticut Sun Prediction

I’m leaning towards the Storm here. I think that in these early season situations, I’m still leaning towards teams that I feel are the better squads just because I think talent wins out as these teams are trying to gain chemistry and get into a rhythm to start the year. Connecticut will be fine and I’m sure they want to put their best foot forward in their final games in Connecticut, but I stlll think the Storm win this one. Give me Seattle.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Connecticut -1