Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction 3/25/25 Miami Tennis Picks

In the victory, Djokovic hit 18 winners and 20 unforced errors. That tally included 10 aces and two double faults. Djokovic landed 77% of first serves in play and won 80% of first serve points (39/49). The Serbian won 47% of second serve points (7/15) and only faced one beak point in the match.

Djokovic compiled 41% of return points (26/64) and broke Carabelli three times. Djokovic improves to 9-4 for the season. He also accounted for a straight sets over Rinky Hijikata in his opening match.

This is his first trip to Miami in six years. In 2019 he lost in the last 16. Djokovic has won the Miami Open six times in his career.

Lorenzo Musetti Preview

Lorenzo Musetti is coming off an impressive three-set win over 18th seed Felix Auger-Aliassime. The match took 27 games to decide and lasted two hours and 27 minutes. Musetti prevailed 4-6, 6-2, 6-3.

In the victory, Musetti hit 19 winners and 26 unforced errors. That included 11 aces and four double faults. Musetti landed 65% of first serves in play and won 67% of first serve points (40/60). The 15th seed won 61% of second serve points (20/33) and saved 6 of 8 break points.

Musetti compiled 40% of return points (36/90) and broke Auger-Aliassime four times. The Italian improves to 7-3 for the season. Musetti has now won four of his last five matches. He has never reached the quarterfinals of the Miami Open.

Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Head-To-Head

• Djokovic and Musetti have played eight times on Tour.

• Djokovic leads Musetti 7-1 in the head-to-head and last met in the semifinals of the 2024 Paris Olympics. Djokovic won in straight sets.

• Remarkably they have only met once on hard courts. Djokovic won a first-round match at the 2022 Dubai Championships in straight sets.

Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

While Musetti brings different energy and spectacular shots here, Djokovic knows how to play strategic tennis against the Italian. He doesn't overhit or overcommit and makes Musetti move a lot thanks to his incredible ability to find the corners. It's been a tournament of upsets, but Djokovic's killer instinct in this matchup means he should advance into the quarters.