Pick details
France (6-1-0) / England (5-1-1)
05:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: France -115 / England +285– Over/Under: 3.5
France Preview
France (6-1-0) finished the group phase of the World Cup with 9 points, with three wins and were placed 1st in Group I. They are coming off a 2-0 loss to Spain in the semifinals, where they had 49% possession of the ball and 10 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 84% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.31 compared to Spain’s 1.63.
France is averaging 2.29 goals per game, while allowing 0.57 goals per game. They have a +1.7 goal differential, 1.91 average expected goals, 0.82 average expected goals conceded and +1.1 average expected goal differential. They have 60% possession of the ball and 71% save percentage, while having 4 clean sheets.
Kylian Mbappé is France’s top scorer with 8 goals. Michael Olise is France’s top passer, with 5 assists.
England Preview
England (5-1-1) finished the group phase of the World Cup with 7 points, with two wins and one draw and were placed 1st in Group L. They are coming off a 2-1 loss to Argentina in the semifinals, where they had 36% possession of the ball and 5 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 84% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.52 compared to Argentina’s 1.59.
England is averaging 2.00 goals per game, while allowing 1.14 goals per game. They have a +0.9 goal differential, 1.61 average expected goals, 0.94 average expected goals conceded and +0.7 average expected goal differential. They have 54% possession of the ball and 65% save percentage, while having 2 clean sheets.
Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham are England’s top scorers with 6 goals each. Anthony Gordon and Bukayo Saka are England’s top passers, with 3 assists each.
England vs France Prediction
France has two wins and two draws in its last four official meetings against England and both teams to score – yes is 3-1 in those four games.
In this England vs France Prediction, France is coming as -115 favorites. Both teams lost in the semifinals despite being favorites and are looking to bounce back today and claim the third place of the World Cup. France is rightfully favored as they have been playing better football in the tournament and they lost to the best defense in the tournament in the semifinals. France is better all across the board, having both a better offense and a better defense, with a +1.72 goal differential and a +1.09 expected goal differential. On the flip side, England has been playing bad defense and cannot hold the ball out of their net, having conceded at least one goal in its last four games and two goals in two of their last three. France had three straight clean sheets before their semifinals loss, so take them to win this one and finish in the third place.
Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: France ML
