Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction 1/10/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Philadelphia Flyers meet Saturday in NHL action at the Xfinity Mobile Arena. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Avs and Sharks, and they play the Flyers next. The Lightning have won 8 straight games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.45 goals per game and are scoring on 20 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 20 goals, Jake Guentzel has 25 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 109 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.64 goals per game and are killing 83.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 60 goals on 684 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 46 goals on 433 shots.

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Ducks, lost to the Maple Leafs, and they will play the Lightning next. The Flyers have split their last 12 games.

The Philadelphia Flyers are averaging 2.98 goals per game and are scoring 15 percent of their power play opportunities. Trevor Zegras leads Philadelphia with 17 goals, Travis Konecny has 24 assists, and Owen Tippett has 103 shots on goal. Defensively, the Philadelphia Flyers are allowing 2.79 goals per game and are killing 80.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Dan Vladar has allowed 61 goals on 675 shots faced, and Samuel Ersson has given up 48 goals on 363 shots.

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The Flyers have won each of their last two games as home underdogs against the Lightning.
• The Lightning have lost eight of their last 14 games as road favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Flyers have covered the puck line in each of their last six games after coming off overtime.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four night games at Xfinity Mobile Arena following a home win.
• The Lightning have lost the third period in each of their last three games as favorites.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last 11 games as road favorites following a home win.
• The Flyers have lost five of their last six games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last four night games following a home win.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four night games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Flyers have lost the third period in five of their last six games as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents when tied after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flyers’ last six games at Xfinity Mobile Arena against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Ten of the Lightning’s last 11 night games at Xfinity Mobile Arena following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last eight games as favorites.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Flyers’ last eight games as home underdogs.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Travis Konecny has scored a goal in each of the Flyers’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Travis Konecny has recorded an assist in seven of the Flyers’ last eight games as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Owen Tippett has recorded 36 career hits against the Lightning – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last four games as favorites.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances with the Lightning as road favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Brayden Point has recorded a positive plus minus rating in each of his last six appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 31st in the league for power play goals this season (18).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 2nd in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (0.79).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.64).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of four teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction

The Flyers have played their best hockey on their home ice this season and are worth a look in the underdog role. The problem is the Lightning are in one of those grooves they typically find at least once every season. Everything works and the wins just pile up. The Lightning have won 3 of the last 5 games against the Flyers, and all 3 of those wins were shutouts. The Flyers haven’t scored a goal against the Lightning since March 2025. Possible letdown spot after the win over the Avs, but I’m still rolling with the Lightning given this impressive winning stretch. They’re just more trustworthy.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning