Red Wings vs Avalanche Prediction 11/7/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Red Wings vs Avalanche Prediction

In this Red Wings vs Avalanche Prediction, the Avalanche are coming as -225 home favorites. Both teams have been struggling lately, as the Avalanche are coming off back-to-back losses and the Red Wings are 1-3 in their last 4 games, but I like the Avalanche at home in this spot as they are looking to end their losing streak and have the frustration of an overtime home defeat by the Predators, so I don’t think they will drop a second straight game at home against a weaker team. They have the second-best offense in hockey and an excellent history against the Red Wings, so I expect them to win this one comfortably and cover the puckline.

The Avalanche are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Red Wings and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Colorado. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.

Colorado Avalanche Preview

The Avalanche have 20 points this season with a 9-6-2 record and a 6-1-2 home record. They are 9-8 ATS and 12-5 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-2 overtime home loss against the Predators and will face the Maple Leafs and Senators next.

Offensively, the Avalanche are averaging 4.00 goals per game with 30.6 shots on goal per game and are scoring 20.0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.24 goals per game on 27.2 shots on goal per game and are killing 76.9% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 149 total penalty minutes this season.

Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 27 points, adding a team-high 18 assists, while Artturi Lehkonen leads the team in goals with 12 with 36 shots on goal. Mackenzie Blackwood is the starting goalie for the Avalanche, and he has a 8-3-1 record, with 2.81 GAA and .893 SV%. Scott Wedgewood is the backup goalie and he has a 1-3-1 record, with 4.02 GAA and .867 SV%.

Injury Report:

Josh Manson — OUT, est. return Dec 27
Zachary L’Heureux — IR-LT, est. return Nov 27

Detroit Red Wings Preview

The Red Wings have 17 points this season with a 7-7-3 record and a 3-2-2 road record. They are 9-8 ATS and 8-9 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-1 home loss against the Golden Knights and will face the Blues and Panthers next.

Offensively, the Red Wings are averaging 2.76 goals per game with 28.9 shots on goal per game and are scoring 22.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.94 goals per game on 25.2 shots on goal per game and are killing 71.7% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 142 total penalty minutes this season.

Alex DeBrincat leads the Red Wings with 16 points, adding a team-high 9 assists, while Viktor Arvidsson leads the team in goals with 8 with 48 shots on goal. John Gibson is the starting goalie for the Red Wings, and he has a 4-5-1 record, with 3.46 GAA and .860 SV%. Daniil Tarasov is the backup goalie and he has a 2-2-2 record, with 1.79 GAA and .929 SV%.

Injury Report:

Albert Johansson — IR, est. return Nov 12
John Gibson — Day-To-Day, est. return Nov 7
Marco Kasper — IR, est. return Nov 7
Mason Appleton — IR, est. return Nov 7
Dylan Larkin — IR-NR, est. return Nov 14

Detroit Red Wings @ Colorado Avalanche Betting Trends: November 7, 2026

 

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Avalanche have won eight of their last nine games against the Red Wings at Ball Arena.
• The Red Wings have lost five of their last six night games at Ball Arena.
• The Avalanche have covered the puck line in five of their last six games against the Red Wings at Ball Arena.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games at Ball Arena following a loss.
• The Red Wings have lost the second period in six of their last seven games at Ball Arena.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Avalanche have lost three of their last four games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Red Wings have won four of their last five games following a loss.
• The Red Wings have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six home games after coming off overtime.
• In five of the Red Wings’ last six games at Ball Arena, the team leading after the second period has won the third period.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the last eight games between the Red Wings and Avalanche at Ball Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Red Wings’ last four night games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last nine games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last six games.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Nathan MacKinnon has scored at least one goal in seven of the Avalanche’s last eight games against the Red Wings at Ball Arena.
• Martin Necas has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight appearances against Atlantic Division opponents at Ball Arena.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks T2nd in the league for multi-assist games (6) this season.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Lucas Raymond has scored at least one goal in five of the Red Wings’ last six road games against Central Division opponents.
• Moritz Seider has recorded an assist in four of the Red Wings’ last five games against Central Division opponents.
• Keegan Kolesar has recorded 18 career blocks against the Avalanche – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Colorado Avalanche has scored 5+ goals in eight games this season – equal-most in the NHL.
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.82).
• The Detroit Red Wings have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (3).
• The Detroit Red Wings rank T29th in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (0.59).

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Colorado Avalanche -1.5