Lightning vs Wild Prediction 11/7/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Lightning vs Wild Prediction

Minnesota comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have allowed two goals or fewer in four of their last five games. The Wild are 5-0-1 at home this year, while the Lightning are 2-3-2 on the road. Tampa Bay has won three of their last five games and they have scored at least four goals in five straight games. The Lightning are scoring 3.73 goals per game this year and they will be facing the backup goalie for Minnesota. I think we will see some offense and I like the over here.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 10-3-2 this season after they defeated the Blackhawks by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Tampa Bay scored two goals in the first period and two more in the third, but they allowed a goal with 50 seconds left to lose the shutout. The Lightning out shot Chicago by a score of 35-27, won 62.3% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay was led by Ilya Mikheyev, who had two goals, while Victor Hedman added one goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 26 out of 27 shots in the win.

Prior to that game, Tampa Bay defeated the Red Wings by a score of 4-2, but lost to the Predators by a score of 5-4 before that. The Lightning have scored 3.73 goals per game and they have allowed 3.00 goals against per game, while also going 17.3% on the power play and 77.5% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led the team with four goals and 16 assists, while Brandon Hagel has added eight goals and nine assists. Andrei Vasilevskiy is 8-3-1 with a 2.75 goals against average and an .886 save percentage this season.

Minnesota Wild Betting Preview

The Minnesota Wild are 12-3-3 this year after they defeated the Sharks by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Minnesota was tied 1-1 in the second period, but they scored once late in the second and twice in the third to get the win. The Wild out shot San Jose by a total of 29-24, won 51.7% of the face-offs, and went 2-5 on the power play in the game. Minnesota was led by Kirill Kaprizov, who had one goal and three assists, while Quinn Hughes added one goal and two assists. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 23 out of 24 shots in the game.

Prior to that win, Minnesota defeated the Flyers by a score of 4-2 and the Capitals by a score of 5-1. The Wild have scored 3.29 goals per game and they have allowed 2.24 goals against per game, while also going 25.4% on the power play and 80.4% on the penalty kill this season. Kirill Kaprizov has led the team with 16 goals and 14 assists, while Quinn Hughes has added six goals and 19 assists. Calvin Pickard is 1-1-0 with a 3.50 goals against average and an .833 save percentage this year.

Why the Minnesota Wild will win

• The Lightning have lost 12 of their last 13 games at Grand Casino Arena.
• The home team has won nine of the Lightning’s last 10 games.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games at Grand Casino Arena following a win.
• The home team has covered the puck line in five of the Lightning’s last six games.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last four games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in five of their last six games as favorites.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Lightning’s last four road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last seven games.

Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts

• Joel Eriksson Ek has recorded a positive plus minus rating in each of his last four appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Charle-Edouard D’Astous has recorded an assist in each of the Lightning’s last four road games.
• Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last three road games against Central Division opponents.
• John Carlson has scored two goals against the Wild this season – most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Minnesota Wild have recorded the most wins by a margin of 2+ goals this season (10).
• The Minnesota Wild rank 1st in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (0.67).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.840).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 1st in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.33).

Positive Trends

As you can see in the trends, we only have two trends in the Total Goals area, but both are pointing towards the over. Tampa Bay has played high scoring games in their last four road games and they have seen plenty of scoring in the first period in their last seven games. The Wild have scored at least four goals in three straight games as well. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 6.5