Canadiens vs Maple Leafs Prediction 11/7/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Canadiens vs Maple Leafs Prediction

The plus money with the Maple Leafs at home is attractive, especially when they’ve had extended rest. Toronto hasn’t played since November 3. With that said, the Habs have simply been the better team up to this point, and they’ve played their best hockey on the road, where they’ve earned points in five of seven games.

The Canadiens have also won four straight games against the Leafs, which includes a 3-2 road win back in late September. Give me a juicier price, and I’d consider the Maple Leafs. With the soft price, I have to lean toward the better form in the Canadiens.

Montreal Canadiens Betting Preview

The Montreal Canadiens beat the Mammoth, lost to the Jets, and they play the Wild next. The Canadiens have won 9 of their last 12 games. The Canadiens are 5-1-1 on the road this season.

The Montreal Canadiens are averaging 3.44 goals per game and are scoring on 14 percent of their power play opportunities. Cole Caufield leads the Habs with 11 goals, 4 assists, and 54 shots. Josh Anderson has 7 goals, 3 assists and 33 shots. Nick Suzuki has 6 goals, 9 assists and 30 shots. Defensively, the Montreal Canadiens are allowing 3.19 goals per game and are killing 78.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jakub Dobes has given up 28 goals on 183 shots faced. Jacob Fowler has allowed 20 goals on 267 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Canucks, lost to the Mammoth, and they play the Devils next. The Maple Leafs have lost 3 of their last 4 games. The Maple Leafs are 4-4-1 at home this season.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.65 goals per game and are scoring 28.8 percent of their power-play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads the Maple Leafs with 11 goals, 15 assists, and 51 shots. William Nylander has 10 goals, 11 assists, and 49 shots. Jack Roslovic has 8 goals, 10 assists, and 43 shots. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.24 goals per game and are killing 88.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Sergei Bobrovsky has allowed 33 goals on 288 shots faced, and Anthony Stolarz has given up 14 goals on 150 shots.

Canadiens vs Maple Leafs Injury Report

The Maple Leafs will be without John Tavares, Kirill Marchenko, Miles Wood, Nick Blankenburg, Marshall Rifai, Max Domi, Cade Webber, Elvis Merzlikins, and William Villeneuve.

The Habs will be without Ivan Demidov, Mike Matheson, Sam Montembeault, Bryce Pickford, and Lucas Condotta.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Canadiens have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a home win.
• The Maple Leafs have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 10 of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 games at Scotiabank Arena.
• The underdogs have won the third period in five of the Canadiens’ last six games.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last 10 games as an underdog when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Canadiens have won 13 of their last 14 games against the Maple Leafs after coming off overtime.
• The Canadiens have covered the puck line in each of their last five road games after coming off overtime.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 15 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have lost the second period in each of their last five games as underdogs following a home loss.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Canadiens’ last four games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the Maple Leafs’ last six night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last nine games after coming off overtime.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 night games.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Jack Roslovic has scored at least one goal in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games as underdogs.
• John Tavares has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Morgan Rielly has recorded two hits against the Canadiens this season- the most against any opponent.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Cole Caufield has scored at least one goal in three of the Canadiens’ last four games.
• Nick Suzuki has recorded at least one assist in 14 of his last 17 appearances with the Canadiens as road favorites.
• Zachary Bolduc ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 7th in the league for goals per game this season (3.65).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs have recorded the most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (3).
• The Montreal Canadiens have suffered the largest comeback loss this season – led by four goals vs. the Jets on November 3.
• The Montreal Canadiens are the only team to lose a game when leading by four or more goals this season.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Canadiens